Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 4, 2022

February 4, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Indomito 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Structural Damage 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Just Praise 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Pemberton 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lagerfeldt 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Unified Conquest 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Hector B 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Cajun Mandate 3.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shez Reckless 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Hannita’s Empire 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Adios Dixie 20.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Scarlett’s Flower 12.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Kingston Queen 6.00 5 10-1
5 5 Look Up to Heaven 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Twenty One Short 1.60 7.6 14-1
6 6 Reneesdreamgirl 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Inevitable Me 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mitico 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Calculated Breeze 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Cacheton 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Legal Star 12.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Bound Lucky 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bob Marco 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lichtman 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Street Facts 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 It Beast All 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Awesome Crusader 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Cupid’s Dude 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Union Freedom 3.50 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Merzaz 20.00 3.1 6-1
11 9 Dreaming of Gerry 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 6 Another Duke 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 7 Mean Machine 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Propensity 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Tackle 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Ricochet 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Toretto 15.00 6 11-1
6 5 Take a Chance 15.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Savoy 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hardredcandy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pigott 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 S. Muffin 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Silver Spur 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Rives 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Invisible War 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Redjack 30.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Equuleus 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Proud Contender 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Inter Miami 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Etched in Stone 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 1 My Boy Lenny 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Straight Shot 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Smiling Teufles 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Big Daddy Dave 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Golden Bow 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Cagua 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Social Engagement 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Science Friction 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Paintbrush 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 War of Ages 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Amazin Queen 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Ready to Film 3.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 American Icon 1.40 1 2-1
6 4 Iron Works 3.50 1 2-1
2 1 In Due Time 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 5 Just Call Ray 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 3 Steal Sunshine 30.00 2.7 5-1
8 6 Skippylongstocking 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 8 Souper Legacy 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Desert Ruler 30.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Graphic Detail 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Mr. Bouma 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 What Knot 5.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Blue Twirlin 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 In a Spin 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Soupster 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Conundrum Queen 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Cocoa Icing 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Alki Puy 50.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Foxtrot Seville 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Elusive Uncaptured 6.00 4.2 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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