Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 5, 2022

February 5, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming Stakes) – La Bred Premier Bon Temps Starter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bind On Earth 10.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sweet Prayers 10.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Madison’s Place 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 See Sassy Run 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Itsnotmyjob 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Dueforadate 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Totally Grace 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Lil Allie Dancer 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Wild Mallory 2.50 7.7 15-1
3 3 Summertime Bandit 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Forty Nine Model 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sarah’s Passion 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Condesa’s Handmaid 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Cilla 1.20 4.7 9-1
8 8 Icy Charlie 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Dixie Lady 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Miss Pat’s Girl 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Southern Beauty 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Strong Beauty 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Acabella 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Heartthrob Halo 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Magic Lightning 4.00 6 11-1
9 9 Wicked Rose 3.00 6 11-1
10 10 Dude Drop Kid 6.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Orphan Creek 4.50 9.7 18-1
1 1 King of Contraband 8.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Forged in Steel 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 As Thunder Heart 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Cabro Toro 8.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Big Jabot 12.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming Stakes) – La Bred Premier Ragin Cajun Starter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Mr. Curlin 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Alterana 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 6 Born Again George 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Farewell Time 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Double Barrel Man 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Toni’s Star 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 I’ll Raise You 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Starlet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eagleoverthemoon 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Buckley Bunny 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Medley 3.00 5 9-1
8 8 Lutie Mo 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Free Like a Girl 2.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Deal Me a Penny 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Wholelottamo 6.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Gotteminabind 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Miss Jana 8.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming Stakes) – La Bred Premier Ladies Starter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Byanymeans 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 8 Sucre 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Distractor Factor 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Heart That Binds 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 5 Kris T. 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Isolation 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Girl Thirsty 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bellamy Cay 5.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Da Due Run Run 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Bertie’s Galaxy 2.50 5.5 10-1
6 4 Little Puck 30.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Galaxy Builder 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 3 Laughingsaintssong 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Hail State 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 6 Black Sword 15.00 8.2 16-1
7 5 Wild Bert 6.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Slither 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Win Ya Win 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Charge the Line 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jet Sweep 10.00 0.6 1-1
1 1 Winning Romance 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Saints N Muskets 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Net a Bear 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Fort Polk 2.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Eileen Alexandra 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Snowball 6.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Strummer 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tap Out Fast 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Prince S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Cheese 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 More Memories 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Home Visit 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Unified Report 2.50 5.7 11-1
5 4 Order Up 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Vodka Gimlet 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 8 Brian’s Iron Mike 5.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Big Chopper 10.00 9.2 17-1
7 6 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 12.00 10 19-1
4 4 Smart Analysis 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – La Bred Premier Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maga Man 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Speaktomeoflove 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Langs Day 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Luck of the Draw 4.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Jax Man 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 Beauregard 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Venn 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Jimi’s a Star 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Krafty Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Double Star 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Magawildtime 15.00 10 19-1
1 1 Izzy’s Baby Boy 5.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming Stakes) – La Bred Premier Gentlemen Starter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bistraya 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tensas Toddy 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Greeley’s Dealer 4.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Available Star 3.00 6 11-1
5 5 Forestdungone 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Meditate 6.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Freedomfi 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Bayou Jam 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Much Class 4.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Doctor Leo 8.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Guitar Slim 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Standing Man 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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Final
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4th - 7:56
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Final
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19:42 2nd
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Final
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Bottom 10th
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Top 8th
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Top 10th
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