Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 5, 2022

February 5, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Greeley Went West 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Sr. Clarky 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Lucky Streaker 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 8 Senator Con 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Caeus in Pasadena 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Binding 4.50 5.7 11-1
5 4 Thirtysix G’s 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 7 Tin Delay 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Perfecture 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Unwanted Intruder 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 McFeely 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Silver N Lai 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Freedom Factor 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Danville 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Artie’s Rumor 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Chantry Flats 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Nobrag Justfact 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 The Last Zip 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Birthday Party 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 The Big Irishman 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 One Hitter 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 A. K. Safari 3.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Musada 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Flashy Richie 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Semi Charmed Life 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 C F Johnathan 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 My Little Flaco 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Starvictory 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 4 Amenset 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Classy Miss 12.00 3.4 6-1
10 5 Fancy Martini 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Old Pho 6.00 6.2 12-1
11 6 Coco Puff 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 My Friend Amy 5.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Summer Tsunami 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Aboukir Bay 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Zisisit (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Shegotthegoldmine 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Eli Dancer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In Sky We Trust 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Lafitte’s Fleet 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Ournationonparade 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Crime Spree 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Picknngrinn 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Denver City 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Steadytillready 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Spooky Road 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 I’m Blushing 15.00 3.5 7-1
1A 11 Hidden Wonder 5.00 4 8-1
1 8 Delightful Moment 5.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Missoni 3.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Shishito (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Red Hot Mama 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Lolloping 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Paris Paramour 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rosia Bay 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Colors of the Wind 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Social Afleet 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Standing Man 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Luckenbacher 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Imindycatbirdseat 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ballinonabudjet 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Martinized 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Touchdown Joe 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Charlies Ticket 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Seeking Sawyer 10.00 4.1 8-1
1A 6 Freelancer 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 1 Holy City 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 11 Gilded Ruler 3.00 5.2 10-1
9 10 Higher Standard 3.00 7 13-1
6 7 Russian Tank 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 2 Holiday House 3.50 9.1 17-1
3 3 Burninhunkoflove 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Creme de Bali 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fiesty Fist 12.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Prayforpeace 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gigablast 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Shesabeautydancer 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lady Churchill 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Funkylittleshack 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Delta Traveler 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Go My Juliet 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Mercedes Ladies 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Citizens Reward 4.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Easy Aces 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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