February 5, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Greeley Went West | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sr. Clarky | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lucky Streaker | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Senator Con | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Caeus in Pasadena | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Binding | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thirtysix G’s | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tin Delay | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfecture | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Unwanted Intruder | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | McFeely | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver N Lai | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danville | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artie’s Rumor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chantry Flats | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nobrag Justfact | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | The Last Zip | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Birthday Party | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Big Irishman | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Hitter | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A. K. Safari | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musada | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Richie | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Semi Charmed Life | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C F Johnathan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | My Little Flaco | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Starvictory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Amenset | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Miss | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Fancy Martini | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Old Pho | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Coco Puff | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Friend Amy | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Tsunami | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aboukir Bay | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zisisit (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shegotthegoldmine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Eli Dancer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Sky We Trust | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ournationonparade | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crime Spree | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Picknngrinn | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Denver City | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steadytillready | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Spooky Road | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’m Blushing | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Hidden Wonder | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Delightful Moment | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Missoni | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Shishito (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Red Hot Mama | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lolloping | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Paris Paramour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rosia Bay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Colors of the Wind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Social Afleet | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Standing Man | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luckenbacher | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imindycatbirdseat | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ballinonabudjet | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Martinized | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touchdown Joe | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlies Ticket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Seeking Sawyer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Freelancer | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Holy City | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Gilded Ruler | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Higher Standard | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Russian Tank | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Holiday House | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burninhunkoflove | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Creme de Bali | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fiesty Fist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Prayforpeace | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gigablast | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shesabeautydancer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Churchill | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Funkylittleshack | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delta Traveler | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go My Juliet | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mercedes Ladies | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Citizens Reward | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easy Aces | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.