Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 5, 2022

February 5, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Evil of Course 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Uncaptured Faith 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Blame the Media 20.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Good Trouble 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Nobody’s Secret 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 True Beast 30.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Princess Pup 30.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 She Is Royalty 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mudshaft 30.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Angelic Storm 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Flor de Plata 2.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sweetcandyfactory 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Savage Sailor 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Similar Taste 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Bubba Dreams 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Birdman Richie 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Panorama Truck 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Cashier Check 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Cryptic Creed 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stay Restless 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Palm Island 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nitrous Channel 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Ocotzingo 10.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Unikee 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Double Play King 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Slightly Frosted 30.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Superstitieux 4.00 2.4 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Al Hilal 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Couch Dreams 20.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Unimpeached 30.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Caribbean Gold 10.00 3 6-1
10 10 Momza 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 The Great Oz 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hardredcandy 3.50 3.8 7-1
11 11 The Red Man 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Double Blessing 8.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Souper Fortune 3.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Windy City Red 6.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Claiborne Farm Swale S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Of a Revolution 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 My Prankster 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dean Delivers 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Mr. Bouma 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 In Dreams 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Graphic Detail 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Romeo Lima 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Allegorical 8.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Ankara 4.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Sir for Sure 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Remote 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Once a Giant 20.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Khufu 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Grand David 4.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Tap the Gavel 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Dream of a Day 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Strong Light 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kitten’s Joy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grand Sonata 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Royal Spirit 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Eldon’s Prince 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Red Knobs 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Speaking Scout 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Coinage 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Father Glado 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Red Danger 3.50 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Forward Gal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Girl With a Dream 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Greatitude 5.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Last Leaf 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Disco Ebo 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 She’s So Beautiful 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 Radio Days 1.60 6.1 11-1
7 7 Diamond Wow 4.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Violent City 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 1 Joe Di Baggio 12.00 2.4 4-1
11 8 Bon Raison 30.00 2.9 5-1
7 4 War Stopper 6.00 3 6-1
3 2 He Hate Me 20.00 4.2 8-1
13 10 Where Paradise Lay 30.00 4.6 9-1
12 9 Candy Man Rocket 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 3 Artemus Citylimits 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 5 Soup and Sandwich 8.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 King’s Ovation 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Boca Boy 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Coastal Defense 5.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Prevalence 4.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sweetest Chant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ambitieuse 6.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Hal’s Dream 12.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Nostalgic 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Miss You Ella 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Opalina 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Myfavoritedaughter 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Roughly a Diamond 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Battle Charge 5.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Ocean Safari 4.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Running Legacy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Holy Bull S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Donegal 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Eloquist 20.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Galt 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Spin Wheel 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Tiz the Bomb 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Cajun’s Magic 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Giant Game 3.50 7.2 14-1
8 8 White Abarrio 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Simplification 4.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 12 Uncle Curly 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Surprise Factor 20.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Spinning Kitten 30.00 5 10-1
11 10 Caloric 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Boru 5.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Centerfoldprospect 15.00 8.7 16-1
12 11 Mo Ready 12.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Flowmotion 6.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Graceful Kitten 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 4 Gemonteer 8.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Kitten Street 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Lavery 12.00 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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