Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 5, 2022

February 5, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ready Soul 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Count Again 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Hurricane Cloud (GB) 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Subconscious 1.60 2.9 5-1
4 4 Delaware (GB) 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sniper Kitten 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sharapova 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 1 Big Sweep 1.60 1.7 3-1
5 4 Del Mar Drama 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Founder’s Day 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Vegan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shaaz 0.80 1.1 2-1
7 7 Motown Music 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 California Street 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Touchdown Brown 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Disco Ball 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Sumo 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Noble Reflection 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fort Bridger 1.80 1.3 3-1
2 2 Awesome Rhythm 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 King Rob 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Besame Mucho 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Tap Union 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Forgotten Vows 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 State of the Union 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Big Event 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Mr Bug Z 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Paulas Cause 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Prince Abama (IRE) 2.50 1.2 2-1
9 8 Gregory’s Pride 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Carmelita’s Man 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Adare 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Niles Channel 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Big Fish 8.00 6 11-1
5 4 Encroachment 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Cane Creek Road 12.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Li Mu Bai (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Santa Monica S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kalypso 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Park Avenue 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Ce Ce 0.60 2.9 6-1
4 4 Full of Grace 30.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Merneith 3.50 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Vantastic 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Coulthard (IRE) 3.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Gregdar 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mucho Del Oro 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Whooping Jay 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Tiz Plus 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Crew Dragon 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Eastern Ocean 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Exultation 12.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Guildsman (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Pasqual S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spielberg 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Eight Rings 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Law Professor 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Express Train 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 American Theorem 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Kiss Today Goodbye 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Like the Wind 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hail Freedom 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Midnight Special 5.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 Fly to Mars 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Brix 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Crash Corrigan 6.00 5.7 11-1
13 12 Dr. Troutman 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Charge Cash 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Jazz Hands 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Discretionary Day 12.00 8.3 16-1
10 9 If Id Told You 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 98 Tallemark 0.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Bang for Your Buck 20.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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