February 6, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goodmorning Angel | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Continentalcongres | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flaca | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Collector | 0.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rvalentina | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snow Loves a Fight | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mandatory Payout | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Blake B. | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Bay | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | The Big Grey | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | What’s My Category | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bingo John | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Profusion | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Comedic Timing | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rational Choice | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everesting | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mandatory | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay Street Money | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maximus Aurelius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morello | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life Is Great | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beast Or Famine | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Code | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hagler | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Musical America | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Threethehardway | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Lincoln | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Direct Order | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mountain | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its All Relevant | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Binkster | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Not Bluffing | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bastet | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kept Waiting | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Roxy Girl | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violent Vixen | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruvies in Time | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fight On Lucy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grudge | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prairie Fire | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wasp | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Karen | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Sophia | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bay | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Electric Youth | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rossa Veloce | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ruthless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Knowing Glance | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Milagro | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Poetry | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Force | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shotgun Hottie | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Landslid | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Interpret | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Jake Rocks | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oliver’s Fortune | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cousteau | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rocco Strong | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’vinicris | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prayer Book | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quickflash | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sutton Valley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.