February 6, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Excelerina (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Morning (FR) | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tmorrowisalongtime | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedcuber | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel of Freedom | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Washington Square | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kjos Kid | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unsolved Mystery | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Muy Chistosa | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duxonthepond | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Lola | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Lily | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Las Virgenes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Adare Manor | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of Thorns | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Everything | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gracelund Gray | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eda | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dutch Bus | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Vision | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Partyofsixteen | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Well | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Ziggy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samba Flavor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Today Matters | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Boss Harty | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fore Flag | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Marcus | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erebus | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Sixpack | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vanisky | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awkward Morning | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agador Spartacus | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quick Buck | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dick Best | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Ride | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Over Regulated | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Syzslak | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Music | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Sandy Surprise | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taming the Tigress | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Northern Gem | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Righteously | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Little Miss Ellie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Donut Girl | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blackjack Betty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Robert B. Lewis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Messier | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir London | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wharton | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Jack | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Spirit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Principe Carlo | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admirably | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Don Looney | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Corfu | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smileforme | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teton Valley | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Truth Seeker | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rookie Mistake | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sea to Success | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.