Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 10, 2022

February 10, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Noneya 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Roux Bandit 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Goodbye Greeley 3.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Later Latertiffany 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Molli Way 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Valid Break 1.80 6 11-1
5 5 Loco Poco 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 In for a Penny 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Two B 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Star and a Half 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Bankroll 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Grunt 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Smooth River 2.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Janet’s Devil 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Chapel of Dreams 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 More Harder 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 3 Luck of the Stars 1.80 5.8 11-1
4 4 G’s Storm 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Lord Eminence 4.00 7.2 14-1
3 2 Boston Buster 12.00 8 15-1
1A 5 As Thunder Heart 1.80 SCRATCH
6 7 R T’s d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’m a Special Star 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Polo Art 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 I’ll Raise You 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tale of a Storm 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Pioneer Pride 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Limbo’s Promise 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Rusty Cage 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Jake the Band Man 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Slewpy’s Halo 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 6 Bear Tooth Pass 8.00 3.8 7-1
1A 8 Cabo Sunset 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Seven Come Eleven 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Infinite Solutions 2.50 5 9-1
3 2 Just Hadley 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 9 Mave Runner 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 5 Holy War 4.00 8.3 16-1
5 4 Happygobucky 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Feel the Fear 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Simply Wicked 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Celestial Finish 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Chattalot 2.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Dancin With Angels 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Cuatro Madres 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Weird Year 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Memory Magic 4.00 0.8 1-1
1 1 Da Due Run Run 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Eutychia 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Georgia Dawn 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Romantic Beast 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Miss Billie K 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Tiz One Fee 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Cajun Shots 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Tailorbeswift 10.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Grand Prize 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Commander Scott 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Two Mikes N Doc G 12.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Here Comes Magic 12.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Jazz It Up 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Grey Rogue 12.00 4 8-1
8 7 Toe Bandit 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Muscadine 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Lover Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hardcore Folklore 3.00 7 13-1
3 3 Union Ride 3.50 10 19-1
11 11 Frank the Mayor 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mister K 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Major Freak 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bit Part 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 My Boy Sam 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Macho Bob 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 General Eisenhower 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Moro Pharoah 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Chief Charlie 6.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Shady Grady 5.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Priority Points 6.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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