Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 10, 2022

February 10, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ry Dont Lie 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Back Alley Jammin 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 That Vegas Boy 3.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 C. C. Mac 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Half Cappuccino 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Louisiana Lee 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Run to Blade 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Argybargy Buck 5.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Dignified N Krafty 50.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Custom Bobby’s 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Itellyouthefacts 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Deer Crossing 4.50 6.5 12-1
3 3 Seehoss 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Sy Michael 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Janets Jay Jay 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Everlovinghand 6.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Mr. Universe 5.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Inthealy 12.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Your Time’s Coming 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cosmic Train 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tambourine Star 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Too Much Bourbon 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Rahfees Man 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Makati Phil 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Donna’s Court 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Mr. Nasty Time 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Aw Shucks 1.80 5.6 11-1
7 7 Pillage Da Village 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Sir Advent 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Just Blaze 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 1 Here Comes Kyle 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Pure Valor 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 4 Channel Won 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 2 Hug the Munny 6.00 8.1 15-1
8 7 W W Kan Do 12.00 9.5 18-1
1A 13 Bourbon Tan 6.00 SCRATCH
2 15 Flashy Brew 3.00 SCRATCH
2B 16 Curtin’s Up 3.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Loveu and Proudofu 12.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Mr. Priority 20.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Volubile 4.50 SCRATCH
13 12 Hawkwood 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Club Soda 3.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Spectrolite 4.00 10 19-1
11 8 Outerbanks 20.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tulane Tryst 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 He’s in Charge 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Hooperdrivesthboat 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Pirate Rick 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Santa Cruiser 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Super Comet 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King Tuff 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Co Conspirator 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lionesque 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Chopped 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Vasilevskiy (IRE) 4.00 4 8-1
10 10 Beau Noir (IRE) 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Stockpiler 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Haddassah’s Devil 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Mr. Cunningham 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Silver Nuggets 12.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Skratch Kat 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Chardonnay 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Bombarra Gold 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Great Adventure 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Malibu Kendall 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Ain’t Broke 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dashing Hero 15.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Attorney Tim 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ioya Again 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Reconvene 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Palazzi 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Artie’s Rumor 6.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Fortuity 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Big Lake 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Fenwick Station 6.00 8 15-1
9 9 Sermononthemount 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 American Tattoo (ARG) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spy a Star 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Sky Factor 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sure Baby 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Verrazano Island 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Lucky Linz 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 6 Hoodwink 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Zero Point Zero 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Golden Account 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Ms Satch Mo 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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