February 10, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Ry Dont Lie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Back Alley Jammin | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | That Vegas Boy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | C. C. Mac | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Half Cappuccino | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Louisiana Lee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Run to Blade | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Argybargy Buck | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
6 | 6 | Dignified N Krafty | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Custom Bobby’s | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Itellyouthefacts | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Deer Crossing | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Seehoss | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Sy Michael | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Janets Jay Jay | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Everlovinghand | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mr. Universe | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
8 | 8 | Inthealy | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
11 | 11 | Your Time’s Coming | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Cosmic Train | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Tambourine Star | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Too Much Bourbon | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Rahfees Man | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Makati Phil | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Donna’s Court | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Mr. Nasty Time | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Aw Shucks | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Pillage Da Village | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Sir Advent | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 3 | Just Blaze | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
3 | 1 | Here Comes Kyle | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Pure Valor | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
1 | 4 | Channel Won | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
4 | 2 | Hug the Munny | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
8 | 7 | W W Kan Do | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
1A | 13 | Bourbon Tan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 15 | Flashy Brew | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2B | 16 | Curtin’s Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 8 | Loveu and Proudofu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 9 | Mr. Priority | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 11 | Volubile | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 12 | Hawkwood | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Club Soda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Spectrolite | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
11 | 8 | Outerbanks | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Tulane Tryst | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | He’s in Charge | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Hooperdrivesthboat | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Pirate Rick | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Santa Cruiser | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Super Comet | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | King Tuff | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Co Conspirator | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Lionesque | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Chopped | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Vasilevskiy (IRE) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Beau Noir (IRE) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Stockpiler | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Haddassah’s Devil | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Mr. Cunningham | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
8 | 8 | Silver Nuggets | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Skratch Kat | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Chardonnay | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Bombarra Gold | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Great Adventure | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Malibu Kendall | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Ain’t Broke | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Dashing Hero | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Attorney Tim | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Ioya Again | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Reconvene | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Palazzi | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Artie’s Rumor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Fortuity | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Big Lake | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Fenwick Station | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
9 | 9 | Sermononthemount | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Spy a Star | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sky Factor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sure Baby | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Verrazano Island | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Lucky Linz | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Hoodwink | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Zero Point Zero | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Golden Account | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ms Satch Mo | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.