Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 11, 2022

February 11, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kokutai 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Crispy Gal 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Half Birthday 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rock Lobster 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Dare to Be Great 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Intelligencereport 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 London Pearl 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Corkman 1.40 2.4 5-1
4 4 Mr. Fidget 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Jerusalem Gates 1.20 3.6 7-1
6 6 Far Away Look 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Fotis 50.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Yankee Empire 30.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Coach Bahe 10.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Juliana’s Rose 4.00 3.5 7-1
1A 3 Talenti 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 4 Steppin’ Hawk 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Saluki 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 7 Our Jessica 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 6 Duckphat 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Lucky Girl 2.00 6.5 12-1
7 8 Bavarian Creme 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Violentiam 12.00 2 4-1
2 2 Mazal Eighteen 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Candy Monet 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Snicket 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Mosienko 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Blame It On Mary 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Towering Orbit 3.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Summary Judgment 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Red Pepper Grill 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 Sudden Impulse 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Hey It’s Tati 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 9 Cross Island 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 8 Lucky Sitka 50.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Exfiltration 6.00 6.4 12-1
6 4 Bellamy’spartygirl 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Infringement 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Linny Kate 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Horseshoe Falls 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Rule 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Fast Break 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Kumar 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Microscope 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Regal Quality 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Daddy Knows 3.50 7.7 15-1
1 1 Glory Road 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Crypto Cash 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Smile Bryan 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rotknee 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Mister Larry 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ava K’s Boy 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Open Til Midnight 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Daufuskie Island 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Impressionist 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Bali’s Shade 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pineapple Man 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Beach Boy Al 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Infeasible 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Eminency 1.60 4.2 8-1
9 9 State Planning 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 He’s Got It 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Barrel of Quests 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Devil’s Edge 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Devious Banker 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Timmy Me Boy 20.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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