February 11, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kokutai | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crispy Gal | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half Birthday | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock Lobster | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Be Great | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intelligencereport | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | London Pearl | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Corkman | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Fidget | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jerusalem Gates | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Far Away Look | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fotis | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Empire | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Bahe | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Juliana’s Rose | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Talenti | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Steppin’ Hawk | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saluki | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Our Jessica | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Duckphat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Girl | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bavarian Creme | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Violentiam | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazal Eighteen | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Monet | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snicket | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mosienko | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Mary | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Towering Orbit | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Summary Judgment | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Pepper Grill | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sudden Impulse | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hey It’s Tati | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cross Island | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucky Sitka | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exfiltration | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Infringement | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linny Kate | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Horseshoe Falls | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Rule | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Break | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kumar | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Microscope | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Quality | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Knows | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glory Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crypto Cash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Smile Bryan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rotknee | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Larry | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ava K’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Open Til Midnight | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daufuskie Island | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Impressionist | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bali’s Shade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pineapple Man | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Boy Al | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Infeasible | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eminency | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | State Planning | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Got It | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barrel of Quests | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Edge | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devious Banker | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Timmy Me Boy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.