Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 11, 2022

February 11, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Lundi 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Majestic Society 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Oxbow Wind 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 7 Robtadi Storm 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 4 Gonna Getcha 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 2 Clever Prince 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 3 Funny Actor 2.50 6.7 13-1
9 9 River King 12.00 8.1 15-1
3 1 Party of Fifteen 20.00 9.3 18-1
1A 9 Western Star 2.50 SCRATCH
2B 11 Charli Michael 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brinee 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Viv Viv Viv 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Splenda Gail 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Shared Future 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mystique Saboteur 1.80 5.2 10-1
7 7 Angel and Me 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Eclipsed 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Half a Buck 10.00 1 2-1
6 5 Graham ‘s Cruiser 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Monarch’s Mischief 15.00 5 9-1
4 3 Jack Bob and Larry 4.00 5 9-1
5 4 Tyler’s Sensation 20.00 5 9-1
9 8 R T’s Wildcat 15.00 5 9-1
8 7 Zoey’s Hippie 2.50 9 17-1
7 6 Son Carlos 3.50 9 17-1
3 3 Petey 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Saving Argument 15.00 1.3 3-1
7 6 Queeten 8.00 2.3 4-1
1A 8 Forevamo 2.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Midnight Revolt 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Cool Individual 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Hatties Jewel 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 3 Archie 4.00 5 9-1
2 1 Tune My Guitar 15.00 6 11-1
1 3 Big Money Machine 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ottoman Empire 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Lightning Struck 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Nate’s Revenge 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Zultan 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Special Breed 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Buddy Reaux 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Birch 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Smart Analysis 8.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Golden Smiles 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 2 Wild Tapit 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 6 Vallejo 10.00 4 8-1
1A 3 Varton 2.50 5 9-1
2 1 Carondelet 5.00 5 9-1
7 8 Miss Jamie 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 4 Starbuck Luck 3.50 6.7 13-1
8 9 Lady Hopper 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 7 Kiddo Town 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sniveling 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Bassett 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Quiet Prayer 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 G Victory 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Pleasant Vision 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Far Beyond 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Chief Cheetah 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 F J’s Gem 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Oxxon 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Hour City 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rightandjust 5.00 2 4-1
6 5 Nate’s Attack 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Warrior’s Map 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Spa City 1.80 4.5 9-1
4 4 Its a Wrap 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Tapage 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Twoko Bay 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guitar Doctor 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Big Russss 15.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Deal With Him 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Quarter Rat 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Drewmazing 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pitch and Run 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 St Joe 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Majestic Artie 3.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Killingsworth 12.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 My Man Louie 5.00 9.2 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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