February 11, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lundi | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oxbow Wind | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Robtadi Storm | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gonna Getcha | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Clever Prince | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Funny Actor | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River King | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Party of Fifteen | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Western Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 11 | Charli Michael | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brinee | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viv Viv Viv | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Splenda Gail | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shared Future | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystique Saboteur | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel and Me | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eclipsed | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Half a Buck | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Graham ‘s Cruiser | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monarch’s Mischief | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jack Bob and Larry | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tyler’s Sensation | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | R T’s Wildcat | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zoey’s Hippie | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Son Carlos | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Saving Argument | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queeten | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Forevamo | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Revolt | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cool Individual | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hatties Jewel | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Archie | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tune My Guitar | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Big Money Machine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ottoman Empire | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Struck | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nate’s Revenge | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zultan | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Breed | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buddy Reaux | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Birch | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Analysis | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Golden Smiles | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Wild Tapit | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Vallejo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Varton | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Carondelet | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Miss Jamie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Starbuck Luck | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Lady Hopper | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Kiddo Town | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sniveling | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bassett | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Prayer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G Victory | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasant Vision | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Far Beyond | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Cheetah | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | F J’s Gem | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oxxon | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Hour City | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rightandjust | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nate’s Attack | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior’s Map | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spa City | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Its a Wrap | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapage | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twoko Bay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Guitar Doctor | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Russss | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deal With Him | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quarter Rat | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drewmazing | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | St Joe | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Artie | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Killingsworth | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Man Louie | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.