February 11, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wendy Wilecat | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Julia’s Chance | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carlos Loves Tee | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lawsuit Lucy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Both Ours | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mon Danseur | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jig Time Bandit | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sayanotherprayer | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bold Dancer | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battle of Will | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flashback Wind | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Credo | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Mike No Mae | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ole Stud Muffin | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judgmental | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ronalds Gatsby | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blaze of Gray | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joeboy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild for Wycliff | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steely Danza | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Masquerade Ball | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | William Gustavo | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He Is Worthy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hero Dragon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Averi Ever After | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Akiane’s Soldier | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Nanny’s a Hoot | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mizzen Monarch | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spider Legs | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World War | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charged Temp | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Lovie | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scary Larry | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Long and Strong | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Lion | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oncoming Train | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Shift | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alebrije | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nofansinthestands | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glitterary | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swanage | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame the Gods | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Henny | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tourrista | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Bella | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Renee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Veilazig | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I Love to Race | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Carson’s Princess | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Diva | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chinatown Nancy | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Halfmoon Reef | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soul Song | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C’Mon Ve | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Brew | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reckless Ransom | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quest for Avette | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loveu and Proudofu | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Away Son | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Double Edge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B D Valeski | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Levee Proud | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keys Included | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Hurricane | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Corrente de Ouro | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rumble Ready | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lapis Lazuli | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lord Zed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mizzen Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bet He’s Ready | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Port Royal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Treasure Hunting | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Vintage Vinyl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Harmon Killer Brew | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timeless Joke | 4.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doctrinaire | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Sexy A. P. | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Richards Dream | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | K T’s Jilted Groom | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Cryptorithm | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P T’s Flash | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Brook Is Golden | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Big Boss Man | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ciroc O Clock | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Daves Friend Dewey | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.