Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 11, 2022

February 11, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wendy Wilecat 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Julia’s Chance 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Carlos Loves Tee 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Lawsuit Lucy 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Both Ours 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Mon Danseur 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Jig Time Bandit 4.00 7 13-1
3 3 Gerrie Lou 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Sayanotherprayer 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bold Dancer 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Battle of Will 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Flashback Wind 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Mo Credo 3.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 All Mike No Mae 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Ole Stud Muffin 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Judgmental 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Ronalds Gatsby 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Blaze of Gray 12.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Joeboy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wild for Wycliff 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 Steely Danza 2.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Masquerade Ball 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Exit 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 William Gustavo 4.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 He Is Worthy 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hero Dragon 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Averi Ever After 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Akiane’s Soldier 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 My Nanny’s a Hoot 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Mizzen Monarch 12.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Spider Legs 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 World War 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Charged Temp 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Here Comes Lovie 5.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Scary Larry 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Long and Strong 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Storming Lion 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Oncoming Train 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Midnight Shift 3.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Alebrije 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nofansinthestands 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Glitterary 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Swanage 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Blame the Gods 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Runaway Henny 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Tourrista 5.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Beautiful Bella 5.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Princess Renee 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Veilazig 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 I Love to Race 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Carson’s Princess 8.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Perfect Diva 12.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Chinatown Nancy 12.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Halfmoon Reef 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Soul Song 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 C’Mon Ve 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Flashy Brew 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Reckless Ransom 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Quest for Avette 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Loveu and Proudofu 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Run Away Son 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sharp Double Edge 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 B D Valeski 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Levee Proud 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Keys Included 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Midnight Hurricane 4.50 6.2 12-1
9 9 Corrente de Ouro 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Rumble Ready 3.50 9.6 18-1
10 10 Lapis Lazuli 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lord Zed 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mizzen Man 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bet He’s Ready 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Port Royal 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Treasure Hunting 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Vintage Vinyl 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Harmon Killer Brew 4.50 10.2 19-1
8 8 Timeless Joke 4.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Doctrinaire 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Our Sexy A. P. 6.00 2.4 4-1
9 10 Richards Dream 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 8 K T’s Jilted Groom 2.50 4.4 8-1
8 9 Cryptorithm 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 P T’s Flash 3.50 5.5 10-1
1A 5 Brook Is Golden 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 7 Big Boss Man 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Ciroc O Clock 8.00 8.6 16-1
5 6 Daves Friend Dewey 8.00 8.9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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