February 12, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Walk the Bank | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sell Something | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Mucho Man | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnselectricride | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wickosity | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vibe Setter | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bointheback | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Inspiration | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | High School Crush | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betty’s Smile | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Kerik | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tappanzee | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girl of Tosconova | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matoula | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | The Glenmore | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Game Theory | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freddymo Factor | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Linny Kate | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scott Alaia | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seahorse d’Oro | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raffinity | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Appreciate | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Mission Trail | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Queentigua | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Big Tony’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Carly Hustle | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pazzion | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Grape Therapy | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Captivating Cara | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Best Idea | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Central Pride | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Built to Last | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ria’s Angel | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Lister | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Limit Up | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Midas | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pepper King | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clash A. J. | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Praline Pecan | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Karen | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Lulu | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Becauseofthebrave | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Sugar | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Delicious | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | London Gold | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Risk Profile | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carrothers | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Medicine Tail | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Pal | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scocciatore | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supply and Demand | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Monarch | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twelth Man | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Market Alert | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Somebody | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gander S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | G Munning | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Journey | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cut the Cord | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barese | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geno | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doin’ittherightway | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Colby Girl | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Doc Rock | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Playmaggieforme | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raymond Road | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bunty Windermere | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bean Christine | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tasty Wave | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chiara | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Malala | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cricket West | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trinity Titoli | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flattery’s Music | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.