Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 12, 2022

February 12, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Walk the Bank 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Sell Something 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Lucky Mucho Man 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Johnselectricride 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Wickosity 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Vibe Setter 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bointheback 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 My Inspiration 6.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 High School Crush 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Betty’s Smile 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 7 Kerik 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Tappanzee 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Girl of Tosconova 1.80 4.6 9-1
1 1 Matoula 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 6 The Glenmore 4.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Game Theory 20.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Freddymo Factor 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Linny Kate 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Scott Alaia 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Seahorse d’Oro 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Raffinity 4.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Appreciate 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 8 Mission Trail 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 6 Queentigua 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 4 Big Tony’s Girl 4.00 3.9 7-1
1A 3 Carly Hustle 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Pazzion 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 2 Grape Therapy 3.00 8 15-1
4 5 Captivating Cara 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Best Idea 1.60 1.6 3-1
7 7 Central Pride 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Built to Last 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Ria’s Angel 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 A Lister 30.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Limit Up 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Modern Midas 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Pepper King 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Clash A. J. 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Praline Pecan 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Saratoga Karen 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 My Little Lulu 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Becauseofthebrave 2.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Superbloodwolfmoon 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Simple Sugar 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 My Delicious 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 London Gold 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Risk Profile 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Ryan’s Cat 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Carrothers 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Medicine Tail 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Saratoga Pal 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Scocciatore 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Supply and Demand 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 American Monarch 2.50 6.9 13-1
7 7 Twelth Man 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Market Alert 15.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Somebody 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gander S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 G Munning 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Bold Journey 1.20 1.8 3-1
4 4 Cut the Cord 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Barese 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bossmakinbossmoves 4.50 4 7-1
6 6 Geno 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Doin’ittherightway 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Colby Girl 20.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Doc Doc Rock 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Playmaggieforme 15.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Raymond Road 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Bunty Windermere 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Big Bean Christine 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Tasty Wave 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Chiara 15.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Miss Malala 30.00 8 15-1
6 6 Cricket West 8.00 8 15-1
3 3 Trinity Titoli 3.50 8.5 16-1
4 4 Flattery’s Music 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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