Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 12, 2022

February 12, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maryjo’s Duchess 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Souvenir Channel 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Fillmypockets 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Storm Breach 2.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 It’s Time Baby 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Old Time Girl 10.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Shotgun Annie 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Grace’s Vision 12.00 9 17-1
8 8 Caged Bear 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pinch Assault 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Bow and Arrow 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 December Seven 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Fredonian 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Minnesota Miracle 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Bajan Cash 4.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barranca 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Roseisalwaysrite 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 That’s My Mama 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Cece Wave 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Mydealoftheday 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Dee Din 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Lake Marie 2.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Run Natalie Run 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Courtly Doc 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Young Bull 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Double Star 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Stephen’s Answer 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Frosted Grace 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 It Makes Sense 5.00 4 8-1
2 1 Extirpator 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Backshot 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Full of Run 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Honor My Speed 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Buxterhooter 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Turn On the Magic 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Laddie Boy 4.50 7.2 14-1
2 2 Chop Chop Charlie 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Invasors Wind 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Taking Notes 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blue Ridge Red 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 7 Goodrockinalvin 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 8 Fifty Protection 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Ima Sunny Song 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 6 Kinlee’s Song 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Grand Prado 1.80 7.9 15-1
1 1 Young Tuscan 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Prado’s Priority 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rockett Magic 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Eponher 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Sassy Sue’s Band 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Apriority Lady 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Beautiful Ending 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Limitless Mazie 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Miss Manassas 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Finnleys Encore 3.50 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shar’s Treasure 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Hip Four O Four 4.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Flash Me Back 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Flat Out Love 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Ready Redding 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Slow 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Desiard 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Quana Dude 6.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Hot Le Roy 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Harry’s Lil Hippie 8.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Sailing Jett 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Wicked Wish 20.00 1.9 4-1
1A 11 Streamer 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Heather Divine 20.00 4 7-1
1 1 Fashion Merit 2.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Alberta Moon 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mo Moneyhoney 5.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Chicken Or the Egg 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Kellys the Boss 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Klassy Point 4.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Cyber Sneaker 3.50 9.1 17-1
4 4 Beaux Tox 12.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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