February 12, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maryjo’s Duchess | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souvenir Channel | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fillmypockets | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Breach | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Time Baby | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Time Girl | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shotgun Annie | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grace’s Vision | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caged Bear | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pinch Assault | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bow and Arrow | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | December Seven | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fredonian | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minnesota Miracle | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bajan Cash | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barranca | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roseisalwaysrite | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’s My Mama | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cece Wave | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mydealoftheday | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dee Din | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Marie | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Natalie Run | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtly Doc | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Young Bull | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Double Star | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stephen’s Answer | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Frosted Grace | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | It Makes Sense | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Extirpator | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backshot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Full of Run | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor My Speed | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buxterhooter | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turn On the Magic | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laddie Boy | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chop Chop Charlie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Invasors Wind | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Taking Notes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blue Ridge Red | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Goodrockinalvin | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Fifty Protection | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Sunny Song | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Kinlee’s Song | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Prado | 1.80 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Young Tuscan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Prado’s Priority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rockett Magic | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eponher | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apriority Lady | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Ending | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Limitless Mazie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Manassas | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finnleys Encore | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shar’s Treasure | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hip Four O Four | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Me Back | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Love | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Redding | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Slow | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desiard | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quana Dude | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Le Roy | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sailing Jett | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Wicked Wish | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Streamer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Heather Divine | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Merit | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alberta Moon | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Moneyhoney | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chicken Or the Egg | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kellys the Boss | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Klassy Point | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cyber Sneaker | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beaux Tox | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.