Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 12, 2022

February 12, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maximum Fury 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Classic’s Omega 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Mista Valentine 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Reachforthesaber 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Unbridled Hope 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 My Little Leo 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Customize My Quest 3.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Joeboy 2.50 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Get Them Justin 12.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 War Count 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jaci’s Royalty 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Budro Talking 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mangelsen 3.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Louisiana Moon 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 City Park 3.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Payday Too 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Our Blue Jay 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fish N Chick 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Strong Chick 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Moon Over Tuscany 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Katie’s Karat 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sneak Peek 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sweet Bay 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Brooklynn’s Dabomb 4.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Majestic Sign 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Peacock Kitten 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Jack the Umpire 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Gunnison 3.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Healing 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Firewater Jake 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Mishko 8.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Oh Say (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Criminal Defense 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Intrepid Heart 1.20 SCRATCH
12 12 Boyfriend Material 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Moonshine Now 10.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Custom for Carlita 8.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Tuffology 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Active Girl 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bobbies Reason 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Peaceful Vision 4.50 6.1 12-1
10 10 Gilded Apple 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Kehron’s Creed 8.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 The Complete Court 3.50 9.4 18-1
4 4 Oma Lee 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fairwell Tax Break 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lolloping 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Fordland 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Spring Magic 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Zisisit (IRE) 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Flower Garden 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Prima Ballerina 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Paris Paramour 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Awesome Hope 10.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Shishito (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Colors of the Wind 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Red Hot Mama 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rosia Bay 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Vinegar Veggies 12.00 10.6 20-1
4 4 Poronui 5.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hoist the Gold 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Candy Landing 3.50 1.9 3-1
1 1 Kissalot 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ferociously 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Jesuit 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Line Change 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Princess Lea 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Blessed Anna 4.50 2 4-1
9 9 Believing 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Youens 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Flatter Me Silly 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Scarlett Lace 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Now Yus Cant Leave 6.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Paytonsattheplate 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Hohohoho 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Blossom Road 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Mo Normal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Chief Kimosabi 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Vero Campione 20.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mr Elvin 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Helaire 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Duvee 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Putthehammerdown 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Big Boo 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Autumn’s Super Ced 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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