February 12, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shacks Way | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Road Bible | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Dreams | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Gigi | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wherever He Is | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Feature | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bitcoin Banker | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Something | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Ghost | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Incorruptible | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Portsmouth | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gunstone | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Time | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Benedictus | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reserve | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | River Redemption | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cronus | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of Sting | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Frost | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brody Boucher | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unembellished | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saqeel | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hanks | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motion Picture | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beachwalker | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Junesandra | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Rocket | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Last Hand | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kissofthenile | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Vee Cee | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peace Dog | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loud Boy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ev’s Sherman | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fetchs Brahm | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Control | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J’s Little Man | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellamys Roan | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Slimer | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Forsaken | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Topf Road Rules | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Royal de Be | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle O. G. | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Real Jewel | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Airborne Gal | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoping for a Ring | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boss Lady | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Shaman | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parkin in the Rear | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Royalty | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beauty Day | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Gusto | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Star Parking | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Baseball Politics | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Promise | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Equity | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lookin for Eight | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Ankeny | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souixper Charger | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tappin Fora Dance | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Secretary At War | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Riverboat Gambler | 3.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Americain Joey | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tomato Bill | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stainless Steel | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparty Sense | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kingmaker | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Invariably | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grapnel | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thunderheart | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quarantine Whiskey | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tenth of Gold | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stratofortress | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life Is Hard | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Matera | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queen Goddess | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coach | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jilted Bride | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bigly | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s All Wolfe | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mariah’s Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Super Chianti | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Pharoah’s Heart | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Cadence | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Ava’s Grace | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wings of an Angel | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kaboom Baby | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Montgomery Park | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Connie K | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Guana Cay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I’m the Boss of Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Well Spent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flipping Fast | 15.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Ursulina | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lady Astrid | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Razorback H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Plainsman | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Stock | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thomas Shelby | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Keeper | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rated R Superstar | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Rock | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Popular Kid | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last Samurai | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Prospector | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chileno | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frisco Line | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kuchar | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Berley | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We the People | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Connect | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer in Malibu | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Switzer | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rome | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Papa Rocket | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unstable Prince | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.