Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 12, 2022

February 12, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Annaghlasa (IRE) 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Charges Dropped 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ginja 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Split Then Double (GB) 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Octane (BRZ) 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Kuora (PER) 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Dramatizer 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Trouville 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cayton Kid 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 For Love Not Money 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Stoic Luna 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Team Concept 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Golden Journey 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Five Circles 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Equilove (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Translate 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Miss Tokyo 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 Suite Madam Blue 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Freedom Lass 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Gallovie (GB) 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Bestrella (IRE) 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Vella 30.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Atlantic Strike 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Chewbacca 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Pelican Way 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Jan’s Reserve 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 D K’s Crown 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Follow the Signs 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Around the Dial 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Invictatatus 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Costa Rica 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Fearless Girl (IRE) 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Pop Pop’s Dream 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Miss Addie Pray 15.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ultimate Hy 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Aloha Kitten 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 She’s Devoted 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Derby Quest 50.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Glesga Gal (IRE) 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fury Kap 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Sir Flatter 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Circle Back 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Me Likey 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Musical Gem 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Sometimes Always 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 El Durango 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carroll Girl 1.80 1.4 3-1
8 8 Sterling Crest (IRE) 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sweet Talked 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Hemmerle 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Distorted Queen 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Phenom 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Isola Mia 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Happy Happy 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Talented Lady 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Rock the Bourbon 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kerouac 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 Got Thunder 0.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cover Me Up 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Classic Mark 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Sense of Dominance 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Noble Union 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Mongolian Box 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sweet Life S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kitty Kitana (GB) 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Ouraika (FR) 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Urban 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 I Got a Gal 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Half Past Twelve 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Impeachd Alexander (IRE) 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Baby Steps 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Dolly May (IRE) 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Ellamira 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 She’s So Shiny 20.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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