February 12, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Annaghlasa (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charges Dropped | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ginja | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Split Then Double (GB) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Octane (BRZ) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kuora (PER) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dramatizer | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trouville | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cayton Kid | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | For Love Not Money | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stoic Luna | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Concept | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Journey | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Circles | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Equilove (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Translate | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Tokyo | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Suite Madam Blue | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Lass | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gallovie (GB) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bestrella (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vella | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Atlantic Strike | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starship Chewbacca | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pelican Way | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jan’s Reserve | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D K’s Crown | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow the Signs | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Around the Dial | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invictatatus | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Costa Rica | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Addie Pray | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Hy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aloha Kitten | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s Devoted | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Quest | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glesga Gal (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fury Kap | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Flatter | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Back | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Me Likey | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Gem | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sometimes Always | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Durango | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carroll Girl | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Talked | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hemmerle | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Queen | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phenom | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isola Mia | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Happy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talented Lady | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Bourbon | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kerouac | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Got Thunder | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cover Me Up | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Classic Mark | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sense of Dominance | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Noble Union | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Box | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sweet Life S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kitty Kitana (GB) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ouraika (FR) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Urban | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Got a Gal | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Past Twelve | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Impeachd Alexander (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Steps | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dolly May (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellamira | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She’s So Shiny | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.