Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 13, 2022

February 13, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eddie the Great 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Badgerville 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Wild Carp Diem 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Clash A. J. 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Reservation 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Lazzarito 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Holdtheflight 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Full Moon Fever 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Prayer Book 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Charger 1.40 3.6 7-1
4 4 Good Culture 1.80 5.3 10-1
2 2 Narmer 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Greatest Love 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Wailin Josie 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Choose Happiness 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Equal Measure 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Makingcents 2.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Folly 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stanhope 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Mo Mischief 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Conformist 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Devious Mo 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Double Shot 1.80 4.8 9-1
5 5 What’s My Category 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Merchants of Cool 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Storm Shooter 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Big Brown Shoes 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Brew Pub 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Reggae Music Man 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Deputy Flag 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lookin for Trouble 3.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Famished 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Peruvian Boy 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Royal Number 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Opt 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Roman Empire 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tale of Mineshaft 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Prince of Pharoahs 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Color Chart 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Pendolino 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Ok Honey 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Enter Sandwoman 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Voice of Spring 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Destinationwnrscir 2.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Broadway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chasing Cara 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kept Waiting 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Letmetakethiscall 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sadie Lady 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Breakfastatbonnies 1.80 3.5 7-1
5 5 Time Limit 2.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Awillaway 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prince of Joy 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Tuesday’s Child 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bell Boy 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Rush to Honor 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Crock of Gold 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Bohemian Ruby 2.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sir William 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Reunion Tour 5.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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