February 13, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Eddie the Great | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Badgerville | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Wild Carp Diem | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Clash A. J. | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Reservation | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Lazzarito | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Holdtheflight | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Full Moon Fever | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Prayer Book | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Charger | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Good Culture | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Narmer | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Greatest Love | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Wailin Josie | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Choose Happiness | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Equal Measure | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Makingcents | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Folly | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Stanhope | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mo Mischief | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Conformist | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Devious Mo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Double Shot | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | What’s My Category | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Merchants of Cool | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Storm Shooter | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Brew Pub | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Reggae Music Man | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Deputy Flag | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Lookin for Trouble | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Famished | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Peruvian Boy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Royal Number | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Opt | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Roman Empire | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tale of Mineshaft | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Prince of Pharoahs | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Color Chart | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Pendolino | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Ok Honey | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Enter Sandwoman | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Voice of Spring | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Destinationwnrscir | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Broadway S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Chasing Cara | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Kept Waiting | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Sadie Lady | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Breakfastatbonnies | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Time Limit | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Awillaway | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Prince of Joy | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Tuesday’s Child | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Bell Boy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Rush to Honor | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Crock of Gold | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Bohemian Ruby | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Sir William | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Reunion Tour | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.