Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 13, 2022

February 13, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cheapskate Diva 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lucky Linda 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Macee 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Scrappy 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ms. Cajun Queen 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sky High Susan 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Savannah’s Here 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Connect It 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Shelli’s Angel 15.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Seriously Sam 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Rebel Girl 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Point of Victory 2.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shesthecatsmeow 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Spectacular Izzy 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Bodie On Pointe 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Blue Ridge Heat 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 She’s a Fair Catch 10.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Rockin Sunday 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sarah Adriana 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Krafty Boy 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 I’m d’Cat 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Unrestricted 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Run Rocket 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Reluctant Warrior 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Like Mike 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mr. Four Sevens 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Cabo’s Rumor 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Drewcitable 6.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Guitar Slim 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Luckenbacher 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Guilty Lover 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gimme Some Mo 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Criminal Defense 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Perfect Cut 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Hombrazo 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Outlier 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Carmel Crush 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Emro 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Vividly (GB) 8.00 3 6-1
1A 11 Mom’s Red Lipstick 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 Mucha Mezquina 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 8 Dance Rhythms 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Inajiffy 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 1 Firingtothefront 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 2 Ready for Change 4.50 8.1 15-1
2B 10 Sterling Miss 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Love and Money 2.50 SCRATCH
10 12 Razor Glass 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Risky Reward 4.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Global Empire 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fenwick 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Tiwanaku 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Tonal Impact 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ardanwood 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rising Empire 1.80 6.3 12-1
1 1 Faith Runner 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Go Big Green 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Postnup 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Magical Peapod 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Clara Peeters (GB) 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Russian Mafia 3.50 7.8 15-1
4 4 Perfect Choice 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Strollin the Bayou 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Suki 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lady Frosted 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Enough Heart 4.00 3 6-1
5 4 Cheyann Glitters 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Audacious Girl 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Stormy Spots 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Missbudlitelime 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Aphrodites Revenge 2.00 7 13-1
9 7 She’s Our Star 30.00 9 17-1
10 8 Allstar Magic 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Connie Baby 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Emery’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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