February 13, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cheapskate Diva | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Linda | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macee | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scrappy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Cajun Queen | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky High Susan | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Savannah’s Here | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Connect It | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shelli’s Angel | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seriously Sam | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Rebel Girl | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Point of Victory | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shesthecatsmeow | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spectacular Izzy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bodie On Pointe | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Ridge Heat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Fair Catch | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Sunday | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sarah Adriana | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Krafty Boy | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m d’Cat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unrestricted | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Rocket | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reluctant Warrior | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Like Mike | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Four Sevens | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cabo’s Rumor | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewcitable | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guitar Slim | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Luckenbacher | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Guilty Lover | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gimme Some Mo | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Criminal Defense | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Cut | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hombrazo | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outlier | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmel Crush | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Emro | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vividly (GB) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Mom’s Red Lipstick | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mucha Mezquina | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Dance Rhythms | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inajiffy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Firingtothefront | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Ready for Change | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2B | 10 | Sterling Miss | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Love and Money | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 12 | Razor Glass | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Risky Reward | 4.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Global Empire | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fenwick | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiwanaku | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tonal Impact | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ardanwood | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rising Empire | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faith Runner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go Big Green | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Postnup | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Peapod | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Mafia | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Choice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Strollin the Bayou | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Suki | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady Frosted | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Enough Heart | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cheyann Glitters | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Audacious Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stormy Spots | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missbudlitelime | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aphrodites Revenge | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | She’s Our Star | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Allstar Magic | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Connie Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.