Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 14, 2022

February 14, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Looking Hot 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Pat Hand Girl 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Reckless Sergeant 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 I’m a Custom to It 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Absolutely Mindy 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lake Runner 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bad Gal Riri 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Upham 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Tiz Light the Way 2.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Indy Tourist 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Big Falcon Rocket 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Freedom Factor 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 3 Foolish Steve 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sharpendup 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Tigerbeach 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Bourbon Tan 20.00 5.6 11-1
1A 12 Secret Vista 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Briar Jumper 20.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Blueridge Mountain 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 The Green Mo’ster 8.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Star’s Dream 6.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Blue Ridge Queen 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 1 Midnight Trip 6.00 3.2 6-1
1A 9 Kittenofthe Court 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Nine Line Bind 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Two With a Ten 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Younmehoneybunny 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Star Prado 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Hotmolly 4.50 8 15-1
9 9 Meg and Clair 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lil Ashley B. 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Balook 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 G’s Deadline 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Money Well Spent 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Top Ten Duchess 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Spellbinding 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 My Little Jen 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Savvy Shipman 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Air Guitar Star 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Mila’s Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Theboyzgalaxy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shoetrick 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Path to Success 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 T G’s Nelson 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Gran Muchaco 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tizabigmick 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mosh Pit 2.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sumting Right 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Honey Run 3.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Golden Twist 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dial Ten for G 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Clara Belle 3.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 C C’s Cowgirl 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 5 Union Grad 10.00 9.2 17-1
1A 15 Surrey 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Super Fire 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chaton Rouge 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Freudian 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Twin Cause 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Zen (IRE) 5.00 10 19-1
8 8 American Deputy 6.00 11 21-1
9 9 Dressedtoimpress 20.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Australasia 2.50 0.9 2-1
7 6 Sterling Miss 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Euphoric 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Palio Flag 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Assertive Style 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Short Summer Dress 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Sail On Ellen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 T D Dance 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Spanish Kingdom 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Mr. Hustle 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Cash Logistics 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Lucky Curlin 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Perfect Speighty 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Bemma’s Boy 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Excess Magic 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Jais’s Solitude 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Warrior in Chief 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Harbor Knight 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Money and Me 2.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Von Dom 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Chambliss 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mean Cannon 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Apriority Storm 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Gallant Star 5.00 7 13-1
6 5 Perfect Perigee 2.50 8.2 15-1
5 5 Semi Charmed Life 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More