February 16, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Say What | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Immaculate Glory | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’oro Moon | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valerie Louise | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I See Bling | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Belle | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourn | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Guera | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Humphrey | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Nate | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Rogue | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Tribute | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Such | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liam Skye | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Play Mo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papiringo | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R T’s Iron Man | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Ace | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | As Thunder Heart | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Orphan Creek | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of Contraband | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strong Rules | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Masterly | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Velvet Ridge | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temprano | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forestdungone | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bet Again | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natealyze | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Yankee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Easy to Miss | 4.00 | 0.6 | 1-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egeauxtism | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Anchor | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive d’Oro | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Frank | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bode’s Light | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hail Southern | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bind On Earth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kasen’s Sister | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Puzzling Priority | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodnight Gracie | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’wild Baroness | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Underrated | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twn Ms Midship | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Reality | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Classy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Sissy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Tonalist | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L G Girl | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cupie Cutie | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mark With an E | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Caruso | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Foursweetnieces | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Dream | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarahs Home | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aiken to Be | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firstslate | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mess | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Kennedy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Voyant | 6.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | South Al Sparky | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Fortunate Son | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sing Loud | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monzza | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Tilt | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Traelee | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Louisiana Thunder | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Da’money Alarm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.