Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 17, 2022

February 17, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Adieu Le Chat 1.80 3 6-1
1A 9 Flit N Flot Time 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Charlie’s Town 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Forty Three 4.00 4 7-1
3 2 Scat Time 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Ninejuanjuan Call 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Permanentdetention 4.50 6.5 12-1
8 7 Catchin Drama 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 8 Big Time Bandit 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 No Ka Oi 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Helluva Life 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Fiftyfive Strong 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bold Minister 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 A. K. Safari 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Plemmonston 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Flashy Richie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Fully Connected 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Under Discussion 8.00 3.2 6-1
12 8 Tee Burns 4.00 3.4 6-1
13 9 Cyclone 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 4 Fastnfurious 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 5 Courthouse Cove 8.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Fleet of Hoof 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Whiskey Gent 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Street N Sour 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lord Zed 3.50 SCRATCH
8 6 Ferocity 15.00 10.4 20-1
9 7 Dot’s Dollar 4.50 11.1 21-1
5 3 Coffee With Alex 6.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Very Wealthy 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Super Fire 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Fired Up Tiger 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Nibbles 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Arlyne’s Crown 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Willamina 5.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sparkling Water 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 4 Twin Cause 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 5 She’s Custom Made 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Chaton Rouge 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Surrey 10.00 8.1 15-1
1A 7 Junie 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Summer Tsunami 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Freudian 1.80 SCRATCH
8 9 Julesforyou 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Speak to Me 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Maw Maw’s Sophia 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 The Missing Piece 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Platinum Queen 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Special Connection 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 New Year’s Party 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Explosively Hot 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Sienna Breeze 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Suzie’s Dream 8.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gutzy 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 5 Big Scully 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Charco 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 My Heavy Son 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 4 Bron and Brow 1.60 7.3 14-1
4 4 Runninginthemoney 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Letstakeitoutside 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Order Up 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Treasure Hunting 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 3 Brion 4.50 2.7 5-1
12 8 Marital Bliss 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 4 Sergeant Reckless 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 5 Mizzen Man 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 6 Broken Rib 20.00 6.6 13-1
3 1 Lapis Lazuli 5.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Setna the Wise 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Twentyone N Change 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Port Royal 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Over Calendared 8.00 SCRATCH
11 7 Bet He’s Ready 3.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Union 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Soul Streit 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Money Mike 20.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Sir Giannis 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Pledgeofallegiance 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Charge the Line 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Bootsie’s Galaxy 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Suggested 12.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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