February 17, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Adieu Le Chat | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Flit N Flot Time | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charlie’s Town | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forty Three | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scat Time | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ninejuanjuan Call | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Permanentdetention | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catchin Drama | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Big Time Bandit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Ka Oi | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helluva Life | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiftyfive Strong | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Minister | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A. K. Safari | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plemmonston | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Richie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Fully Connected | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Under Discussion | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Tee Burns | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Cyclone | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fastnfurious | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Courthouse Cove | 8.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleet of Hoof | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Gent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Street N Sour | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lord Zed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Ferocity | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dot’s Dollar | 4.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Coffee With Alex | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Very Wealthy | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Fire | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fired Up Tiger | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nibbles | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arlyne’s Crown | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willamina | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sparkling Water | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Twin Cause | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | She’s Custom Made | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chaton Rouge | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surrey | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Junie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Summer Tsunami | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Freudian | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Julesforyou | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Speak to Me | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Missing Piece | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Queen | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Connection | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Year’s Party | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Explosively Hot | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sienna Breeze | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suzie’s Dream | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gutzy | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Big Scully | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charco | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Heavy Son | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Bron and Brow | 1.60 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runninginthemoney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Letstakeitoutside | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Order Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Treasure Hunting | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brion | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Marital Bliss | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sergeant Reckless | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mizzen Man | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Broken Rib | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lapis Lazuli | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Setna the Wise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Twentyone N Change | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Port Royal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Over Calendared | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Bet He’s Ready | 3.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Union | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Streit | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Mike | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Giannis | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pledgeofallegiance | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charge the Line | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suggested | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.