Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 18, 2022

February 18, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thats Pretty Nice 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dusted 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Belleshazza 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Herecomesangelina 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Afilada 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Mostly Harmless 4.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bourbon Rebellion 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 To a T 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Calescent 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Bella Principessa 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sweet Mission 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Jasminesque 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boss Cara 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 3 Write This Down 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 New York Banker 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Flower Moon 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 2 Tellaperfecttale 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Thegoddessofsnakes 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Montauk Daddy 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Mount Travers 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 2 Alcools 1.80 2 4-1
1A 5 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 1.80 2.6 5-1
7 6 Brilliant Brooks 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Eucharist 5.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Banyan Breeze 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Free Enterprise 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flashndynamite 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Vegas Weekend 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Primacy 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Customerexperience 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ice Princess 1.80 4.3 8-1
5 5 Frost Point 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hybrid Eclipse 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Noble Journey 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Straight Skinny 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mister Candy Ride 1.80 3.7 7-1
5 4 Make It in Ny 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Big Castle 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 6 El Mayor 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Patty O’Marc 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Bellamy Dolce 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mashnee Girl 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Cazilda Fortytales 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Khali Magic 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Epona’s Dream 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 B B’s Busted 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ifihadachance 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Amity Island 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Frost Me 4.50 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 We Ready 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Stone Surprise 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Romantic Man 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Total Effort 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Napoleon Complex 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Mister J T 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Alite 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 War Novel 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Exalted Charm 4.50 6.8 13-1
10 10 Run White Rabbit 15.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Rye Runner 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Motion to Strike 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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