February 18, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Debs Girl | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Untamed Money | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simple Sunday | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Baby Bele | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Citizens Reward | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Danta | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cloudywithachance | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belinda | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last Ghost | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Susan Strong | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fianna Hills | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C’s Baby Girl | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Production | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodnightsugar | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel’s Cut | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Legs | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | K R Target | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xanthus Wrath | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Native Cat | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Jr | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Twister | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petey | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Festival | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cold Hearted Wench | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wherethemoneywent | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Izeonpoint | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Velvet Night | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Be a Bandit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Amelia | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ijustwantahavefun | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duepeg | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Search Engine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Runner | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Move | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Shipman | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. B Cause | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Danny’s Lil Dana | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamer’s Delight | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Half a Bite | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Si Es Goya | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bistraya | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chop Chop Charlie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Zip | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Always a Catch | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovethatcause | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Raise You | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweeping Edge | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Mistake Present | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Thimble | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charli Michael | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heather’s Request | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Charlie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starvictory | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Count | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Rachel | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Brave | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Star | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shot On Windy Hill | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Byanymeans | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zydeco Music | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Little Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A. K. A. Grams | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alhambra Palace | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mean American | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tincandance | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jennifer’s Arch | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keen On Keenan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Streettalkinhottie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kenya Strike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zeatrical | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Angel Arkie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Achancetowin | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doha | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jus My Imagination | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hanging Lake | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Be Gone | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gaby’s Promise | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mollys Flyin High | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Kiki | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.