Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 18, 2022

February 18, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Debs Girl 20.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Untamed Money 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Simple Sunday 3.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 My Baby Bele 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Citizens Reward 1.80 5.6 11-1
6 6 La Danta 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Cloudywithachance 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Belinda 10.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Last Ghost 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Susan Strong 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Fianna Hills 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 C C’s Baby Girl 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Pretty Production 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Goodnightsugar 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Angel’s Cut 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Super Legs 1.80 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 K R Target 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Xanthus Wrath 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Last Native Cat 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Papa Jr 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Time Twister 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Petey 3.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Starship Festival 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cold Hearted Wench 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Wherethemoneywent 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Izeonpoint 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Velvet Night 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Be a Bandit 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Sweet Amelia 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Ijustwantahavefun 2.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Duepeg 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Search Engine 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Classic Runner 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Time to Move 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Classy Shipman 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mr. B Cause 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Danny’s Lil Dana 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Dreamer’s Delight 3.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 Half a Bite 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Si Es Goya 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 Bistraya 4.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Chop Chop Charlie 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Crimson Zip 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Always a Catch 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lovethatcause 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 I’ll Raise You 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Sweeping Edge 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 3 Mistake Present 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 The Thimble 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Charli Michael 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Heather’s Request 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Blazing Charlie 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Starvictory 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Big Count 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Sweet Rachel 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Real Brave 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Western Star 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Shot On Windy Hill 15.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Byanymeans 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Zydeco Music 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Our Little Girl 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 A. K. A. Grams 8.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Alhambra Palace 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Mean American 5.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Tincandance 15.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Jennifer’s Arch 10.00 10 19-1
1 1 Keen On Keenan 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Streettalkinhottie 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kenya Strike 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zeatrical 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Angel Arkie 15.00 3 6-1
10 10 Achancetowin 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Doha 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Lil’ Sister Lou 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Jus My Imagination 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Hanging Lake 10.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Lady Be Gone 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Gaby’s Promise 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 Mollys Flyin High 12.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 My Kiki 5.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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3rd - 1:37
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2nd - 7:37
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End 2nd
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Final
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Top 7th
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Top 5th
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Top 7th
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