February 18, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Fort Bonz | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Bourbon St Tappin | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Gypsy’s Soulmate | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Now Now Man | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Cohere | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Wish Upon a Star | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | The Three Ks | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | My Gal Charlotte | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Tugboat | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Stop Shop N Drop | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
11 | 11 | Custom Guitar | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | La Feme Jolie | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Zumra Bayou | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Janisthebeauty | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Conservatve Values | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Memphis Meltdown | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mo Bella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Classical Magnolia | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Thunder Ahead | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Grand Design | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Tio Blas | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Mr. Quality | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Charming Bullet | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | The Big Irishman | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | White Mist | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Da Gold Room | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Kyle’s Bro Jimmy | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Dallas Volunteer | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Malibu Marie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Lola Flo | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Nana’s Gray | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Memphis Cash Queen | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Lady Clare | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mission Belle | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Ironit | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Love Ran Red | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Royal O’Haigain | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Beleout | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | A G’s Charlotte | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Drop Dead Sexy | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Graceleadsushome | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Knights Sword | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Saratoga Pasodoble | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Say I Won’t | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Dove With a Cause | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Eli Dancer | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Dashing Hero | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Pinkaboo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | One More Laugh | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Gillian Elizabeth | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | French Curline | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Bombdiggity | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Unbridled d’Oro | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Fine Cotton | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Dial It Up a Notch | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Ride the Plan | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Vegas Blue | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Joan’s Way | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Gold Bear | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Flying Fred | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
9 | 9 | Dover Strait | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Unorthodox | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Crazy Genius | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Xtreme V. I. P. | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Tenor | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | American Smooth | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mr. J. McKay | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
10 | 10 | Joyful Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Bird Empress | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Bernabreezy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Sequist | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Waterworks | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mariah’s Fortune | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Miss Chamita | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Hazy Command | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Deck of Cards | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.