February 19, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bunnie Rae | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blame Nellie | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Burrow Down | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shezz Koldazice | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Keen Contender | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baja Fog | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Java | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Purrfect Mistress | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast and Feminine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Tiz Showbiz | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty Grimes | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Popizar | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Praetorian | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Fort Ridge | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 11 | True Saint | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Venue | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Agave Kid | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Dot | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kierkegaard | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burtnjoe | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Past Post | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Bus | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord M | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Max’s Heart | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Preacher’s Pet | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackys Back | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Young o’ Daine | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Backgate Red | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stan the Ladysman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Justdennis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mo Hawk Man | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lou’s Arrow | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Lucks Big Boy | 4.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slightly Crafty | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mississippi | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River Echo (GB) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King Ford | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zitman | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tez | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Darren’s Fortune | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gambler | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arrival | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cashanova | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eagle Pass | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blueridge Traveler | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Established | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Gunner | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Mandate | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Double | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atoka | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Authority | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Daaher | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Crime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lykan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Make Noise | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wartime Hero | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Daddy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Generator | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Englander | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call of Honor | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eastside Cool | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Faces | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shofar | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tillis | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judge Phillip M | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Novel Squall | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Grayce | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melting Snow | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berry Good | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coppelia | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cherished | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alberta Sun | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Imperial | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trident Hit | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Huge Bigly | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Peck | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catdaddy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Truculent | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Market Analysis | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sixth Sense | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Intrepid Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Charge | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Birdie | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Halo | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Soul | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ding Ding | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verylittlecents | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hypersport | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Icy Stare Down | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Com’ On Sweet Luv | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 10 | Caddo River | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Simovitch | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Defender | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hot Shot Kid | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shotski | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Runnin’ Ray | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bankit | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harvard | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ram | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antigravity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Full Impact | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Chaos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Prodigious Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | What a Country | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.