Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 19, 2022

February 19, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Bunnie Rae 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Blame Nellie 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Burrow Down 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Shezz Koldazice 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Keen Contender 3.50 6 11-1
3 2 Baja Fog 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Big Java 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Purrfect Mistress 2.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Fast and Feminine 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Tiz Showbiz 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Smarty Grimes 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Popizar 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Praetorian 6.00 4 8-1
11 12 Fort Ridge 10.00 5.2 10-1
1A 11 True Saint 2.50 5.2 10-1
10 10 El Venue 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Agave Kid 4.50 8.4 16-1
6 6 Two Dot 20.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Kierkegaard 12.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Burtnjoe 12.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Past Post 6.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 The Bus 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Lord M 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Max’s Heart 2.50 4.7 9-1
12 11 Preacher’s Pet 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Jackys Back 10.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 Young o’ Daine 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Backgate Red 8.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Point Blank 20.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Stan the Ladysman 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Justdennis 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mo Hawk Man 15.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Lou’s Arrow 6.00 11.3 21-1
14 12 Lucks Big Boy 4.00 12 23-1
5 5 Slightly Crafty 20.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mississippi 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 River Echo (GB) 4.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 King Ford 20.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Zitman 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Tez 3.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Darren’s Fortune 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Gambler 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Arrival 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Cashanova 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Eagle Pass 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Blueridge Traveler 12.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Established 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Top Gunner 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 American Mandate 5.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Whiskey Double 3.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Atoka 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Full Authority 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Royal Daaher 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 High Crime 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lykan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Make Noise 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Wartime Hero 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sun Daddy 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Generator 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Englander 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Call of Honor 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Eastside Cool 3.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Great Faces 4.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Shofar 8.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Tillis 15.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Judge Phillip M 20.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Novel Squall 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Southern Grayce 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Melting Snow 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Berry Good 10.00 4 7-1
7 7 Coppelia 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Wildwood’s Beauty 2.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Cherished 15.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Alberta Sun 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Miss Imperial 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trident Hit 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Huge Bigly 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Fort Peck 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Catdaddy 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Truculent 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Market Analysis 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 My Sixth Sense 3.50 7.9 15-1
1 1 Intrepid Heart 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Warrior’s Charge 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pretty Birdie 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Wicked Halo 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Happy Soul 1.80 2.8 5-1
8 8 Ding Ding 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Verylittlecents 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Hypersport 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Icy Stare Down 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Com’ On Sweet Luv 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 10 Caddo River 5.00 3 6-1
13 9 Simovitch 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 7 Defender 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 4 Hot Shot Kid 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 3 Shotski 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 6 Runnin’ Ray 4.50 7.7 15-1
8 5 Bankit 2.50 7.9 15-1
1 1 Harvard 8.00 8.1 15-1
3 2 Ram 12.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Antigravity 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Full Impact 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Absolute Chaos 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Prodigious Bay 8.00 SCRATCH
12 8 What a Country 20.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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