Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 19, 2022

February 19, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brotherly Love 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Klimtoglory 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Stotland 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 La’och Aloysius 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Quidproquo Joeblow 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Lookout Point 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Baldoro 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Missing Maurice 50.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wall Street Trader 1.20 1.7 3-1
5 5 Besame Mucho 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Frisco Gold 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Kimmer 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Gebo 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tap Union 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Cuban Crisis (GB) 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 2 Khlass (IRE) 12.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 What a Feeling 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 M Is for Magic 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Vivando 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Laura Mars (IRE) 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Ever Smart 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Buy American 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Texas Wendy 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bright Leaf 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Street Art 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Clampett 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 King Apollo 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Town Boy 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Con On the Run 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Fort Bridger 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bold Choice 2.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Funny Feline 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Increase Stakes 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Lady Blackbird 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Rosie Forecast 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Elegance Code 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Barrister’s Ride 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Circle of Stars 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sweet Duck 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Roubaix 8.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 State of the Union 1.20 1.7 3-1
4 4 Cee E Oh 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mongolian Bonus 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Pinedale 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 King Rob 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mr Bug Z 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Keyflower (FR) 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Moraz 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Hogans Holiday 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Rocking Redhead 5.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 New Heat 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Cordiality 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Gold for Kitten 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Sassyserb 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Zeyaraat 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 California Kook 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Atomic Drop 1.80 1.5 3-1
2 2 Scary Fast Smile 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Pyeong Chang 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Squalotoro 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Reckoning Day 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Midnight Special 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pasadena S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sumter 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Doitforandrew (GB) 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Crosby Beach 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Handy Dandy 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Barsabas 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Echosmith (IRE) 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Epoch 6.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Optigogo 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Don’t Swear Dave 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Fast Draw Munnings 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Red Road 20.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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