Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 20, 2022

February 20, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Closing Deals 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Over the Sand 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Easy Play 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Boca Kitten 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 London Pearl 30.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Carbon 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Fidget 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bellamy Dolce 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Coach Bahe 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ocean Deep 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Yankee Empire 30.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Road to Success 0.20 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King of Hollywood 1.40 1.7 3-1
1 1 Good Tip 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Principality 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Irie Spice 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Rvindicated 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Empire Ridge 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Something Majestic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Karen’s Cove 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Mr. Pete 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 5 Tale of Mist 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Manifest Destiny 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Ragtime Blues 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Binkster 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mandatory Payout 8.00 0.9 2-1
7 7 Corkman 1.80 2.4 5-1
5 5 Famished 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 Confectioner 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mucho Sunshine 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bingo John 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Event Party 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Durkin’s Call 8.00 0.8 2-1
2 2 Writer’s Regret 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Bustin Timberlake 1.80 2.7 5-1
7 6 Daddy Knows 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Our Man Mike 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 T Loves a Fight 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Double Shot 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ancient Brown 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Shadolamo 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Viradia 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Prairie Fire 1.80 4.1 8-1
4 4 Diva Banker 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Gringotts 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Barbara’s Bank 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 More Graytful 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Whistling Birds 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Tapizearance 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Seven Lilies 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Winners Laugh 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Anything Pazible 30.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Bustin Shout 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Colormepazzi 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Texas Basin 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 One Whirlwind Ride 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Trash Talker 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Masked Marauder 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Air Show 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Subsidize 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Rudy Rod 8.00 4.9 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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