February 20, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Closing Deals | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over the Sand | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Play | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boca Kitten | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | London Pearl | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carbon | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Fidget | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bellamy Dolce | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Bahe | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Deep | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Empire | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Road to Success | 0.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King of Hollywood | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Tip | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Principality | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irie Spice | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rvindicated | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empire Ridge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Something Majestic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Karen’s Cove | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Pete | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Mist | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manifest Destiny | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtime Blues | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Binkster | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mandatory Payout | 8.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corkman | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Famished | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Confectioner | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Sunshine | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bingo John | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Event Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | 0.8 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Writer’s Regret | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bustin Timberlake | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daddy Knows | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Man Mike | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Shot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ancient Brown | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadolamo | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viradia | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Fire | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diva Banker | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gringotts | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barbara’s Bank | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | More Graytful | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whistling Birds | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapizearance | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Lilies | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winners Laugh | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anything Pazible | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Shout | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Colormepazzi | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Basin | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Whirlwind Ride | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trash Talker | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masked Marauder | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Show | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Subsidize | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rudy Rod | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.