Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 20, 2022

February 20, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Ls’shoe’s Image 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bourbon Sky 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Struttin Apriority 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Anyotherquestions 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Draft Choice 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Rock Star Alex 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Josan 15.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Big Time Bandit 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Champagne Horizon 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Rank and File 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Angel of Verdun 1.40 5.2 10-1
1 2 Glance 2.00 6 11-1
6 6 Good Mongolia 12.00 7.4 14-1
1A 4 Havinfunyet 2.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Mongolian Humor 8.00 SCRATCH
7 8 A Little Flyer 4.50 SCRATCH
8 9 Varsity Flygirl 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cherokee Takeover 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Speedofthespeed 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Bernie Special 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Stealing Apriority 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Grey Sloan 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tripper John 3.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Saber Run 4.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Real City Speed 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Peterkin 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Groom Lake 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Full Dinner Jacket 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Hot Stove League 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Filippo 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Math Man 3.50 6.8 13-1
8 8 Ronithelimodriver 4.50 7.9 15-1
1 1 Aniclude 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Zoffa 8.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Leroy Jenkins 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Warriors Gem 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 The Gray Blur 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Pretty Boy Elm 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Glenn’s Jumper 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Tapster 30.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Mosta Flyin 30.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Kid Slipper 4.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 King of the Testo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Paper 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 California Holiday 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sailor’s Return 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Defied 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Cash Rocket 1.40 5.2 10-1
4 4 One More Baby 5.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Foolish Dreams 3.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Grief 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Mucho Marvin 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Cryptozonic 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bitsy’s Custom C 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Gold Punch 4.50 7.1 13-1
8 8 Inthealy 8.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Crusader Express 5.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Ready to Roll 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Complex System 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 8 Sun Striker 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 On Your Mark 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 6 Biarritz 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 Lookin for Loki 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Citizen West 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 10 Behemah Star 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 13 Win Ya Win 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Apache Tears 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cove Blue 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Abuelo Nuno 4.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Jo Dee’s Angel 5.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 And Fifty 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Trader Price 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Johnny Bootleggs 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hudson’s Turn 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Cheatin Charlie 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Iron Fortune 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Risktaker 5.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Baseball Lover 3.50 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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