February 20, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Ls’shoe’s Image | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Sky | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Struttin Apriority | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anyotherquestions | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Draft Choice | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rock Star Alex | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Josan | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Time Bandit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Horizon | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rank and File | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angel of Verdun | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Glance | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Mongolia | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Havinfunyet | 2.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Humor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | A Little Flyer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Varsity Flygirl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Takeover | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedofthespeed | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bernie Special | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stealing Apriority | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grey Sloan | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tripper John | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saber Run | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Real City Speed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Peterkin | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Groom Lake | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Full Dinner Jacket | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Stove League | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Filippo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Math Man | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ronithelimodriver | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aniclude | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoffa | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leroy Jenkins | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warriors Gem | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Gray Blur | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Boy Elm | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glenn’s Jumper | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapster | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mosta Flyin | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Slipper | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of the Testo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Paper | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Holiday | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Return | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defied | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Rocket | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One More Baby | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Foolish Dreams | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grief | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Marvin | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cryptozonic | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy’s Custom C | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Punch | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inthealy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crusader Express | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Ready to Roll | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Complex System | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sun Striker | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | On Your Mark | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Biarritz | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lookin for Loki | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Citizen West | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Behemah Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Win Ya Win | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Apache Tears | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cove Blue | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Abuelo Nuno | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Jo Dee’s Angel | 5.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | And Fifty | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trader Price | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Bootleggs | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hudson’s Turn | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheatin Charlie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Fortune | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risktaker | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baseball Lover | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.