Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 20, 2022

February 20, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Clare 1.40 1.3 2-1
4 4 Feeling Grazeful 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Northern Gem 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Rose’s Crystal 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 I’m a Rockette 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Big Splash 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 Big Impact 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 4 Romeo’s Glory 6.00 3 6-1
2 1 Arthur Spooner 1.80 3 6-1
1 1 Come On Come On 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heartfullofstars 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Bear Chum (AUS) 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Charge Cash 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Tembo 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Buttered Noodles 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Black Storm 3.50 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Area Code 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Thrive 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Limited Heatwave 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Really Big News 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Square Cat 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Chipper 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Ardie the Legend 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Exclamation 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Talklessworkmore 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Sawasdee 20.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Your Royal Coil 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Rain Diva 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Time for Ebby 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tiz Toffee 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Big Passion 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 It’s a Riddle 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Island Life 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Truly Fabulous 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Batukhan (IRE) 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Hulk 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 World Cruiser 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Hollywoodhellraisr 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Rosenquist 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Got Curly 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Halfbarberbingie 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Smitten by Kitten 2.50 2 4-1
4 3 Delta Wind 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mucha Woman 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Smoothlikebuttah 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 All Dialed In 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Premiumonsaturday 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Blackjack Betty 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Race Judicata 8.00 6 11-1
3 2 Shanghai Sunrise 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Omg It’s Jessica 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Simeon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beer Can Man 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Bombard 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Commander (FR) 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Chaos Theory 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bran (FR) 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Indian Peak 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Barraza 2.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Guildsman (FR) 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Countess Rosina (IRE) 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Dear Beau (IRE) 5.00 2 4-1
9 6 Glenall (IRE) 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 5 Ruby Ray 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Scenic Masterpiece 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Angel Nadeshiko 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Everystepoftheway 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Fluent 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Snark 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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