Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 21, 2022

February 21, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heads Or Tails 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Moons the Limit 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Triple Brown 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Empire Station 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Acalteque 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 On the Hill 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bointheback 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ginnsu Warrior 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Not Yet Charlie 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bustin Pietre 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Always Charming 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Ready to March 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Turnpike Bob 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Winning Drive 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 High Command 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Vicar’s Legend 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Fleet Warrior 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Healy’s Hope 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Summer Bourbon 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 P J Advantage 2.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gagliano 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 5 Mission Trail 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 6 Queentigua 5.00 2.7 5-1
1A 4 Carly Hustle 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Pazzion 12.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Grape Therapy 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 7 Stormi Cat Lady 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 8 Voice of Spring 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cave Man 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sensibleconclusion 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Front Porch 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Regal Empire 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Kong Loves a Fight 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Excursionniste 2.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Rcaptivating 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Mi Mi 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Guns Blazing 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Starship Reina 30.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Shasta Star 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Quality Stones 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Gentle Annie 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Sirenic 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Addilyn 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maddie May S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Thinking It Over 5.00 1.2 2-1
4 3 Caragate 15.00 1.3 3-1
8 6 Yo Cuz 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Stone Creator 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 2 Reigning Chick 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 5 Moam 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Captainsdaughter 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sandy’s Garden 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Slugo 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Remembermom 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Forestwood Lane 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Igottahaveit 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tough Workout 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Vincent 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Out of the Breech 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 V Pattern 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Unlikely 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Tamburro’s Sox 3.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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