Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 21, 2022

February 21, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Gainer 10.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Stock Deal 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Sidetown 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Honorary Degree 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Major Attraction 2.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Brother Aaron 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Toobadsosad 15.00 6 11-1
5 4 Lady Gusto 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Torin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lake Tahoe 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Clancy’s Pistol 4.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Wildwood Z 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Suez 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Tequila Revolution 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Pioneer Bob 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Declare the Moon 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Lookinforexcitemen 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 La Flecha 3.00 7 13-1
10 10 Spend Again 15.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Fastest Spin 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 1 Mercury Head 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Unherdof 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Simona’s Choice 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 4 Spilled Perfume 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Little Burrito 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 8 Very Spicy 5.00 6.6 13-1
9 7 Grapevine 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Purrfect Love 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Five Star Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dolly Dimple 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 11 Cancan Saree 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Life of Saturdays 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 War Music 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 Kenkead 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 6 Shining Terri 20.00 7.1 13-1
12 10 Miss Rita 2.50 7.3 14-1
9 7 Mazie G 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Tallandlong 3.00 9 17-1
7 5 Jeri Dawn 30.00 9.4 18-1
11 9 Feminine Allure 30.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Lil’ Bit of Chrome 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sailaway and Hide 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ima Sure Bet 20.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Angie’s Revrac 8.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Baby I’m Perfect 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Greeley and Ben 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Colosi 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Cumberland Avenue 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Wrongwayhighway 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 One for Richie 3.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Cave Run 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Sacred Oath 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Close to Me 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 6 Ann in the Middle 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 2 Descente 2.50 3.9 7-1
9 8 Daring 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Social Circle 4.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Persisto 3.50 6.3 12-1
5 4 Backgate Belle 30.00 6.4 12-1
1A 9 Road Test 2.50 7 13-1
4 3 Daigle 30.00 9.3 18-1
3 2 Warm Beauty 30.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Superstar Bea 8.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Big Base 20.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Coach Happy 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Smokin Willie 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sinner’s Sin 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Portsmouth 15.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Cold City 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Improbable Journey 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Drag Malibu 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Smokey Story 15.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Ghaaleb’s Big Win 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 El Gemar 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Bigtime Tegridy 15.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Chiron 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Ludwig 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Wells Bayou 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 6 Concert Tour 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 7 Gun It 10.00 2 4-1
6 5 Attachment Rate 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mucho 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Mo Mosa 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Necker Island 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 C Z Rocket 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Manhattan Up 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ms Sassy Atitude 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Derby Day Lassie 3.00 7.1 13-1
12 11 Rose Marie B 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Starrgarita 12.00 7.7 15-1
13 12 Unbridled Twister 3.50 7.7 15-1
11 10 My Dams Atitude 4.50 8.4 16-1
1 1 Oochie 10.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Mocha Kiss 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 8 Louemma 10.00 9 17-1
10 9 Truly a Rocket 10.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Heated Argument 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Big On Broadway 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Seriously Sassy 6.00 11.4 22-1
8 7 Hot Springs Bling 20.00 12.2 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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