Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 21, 2022

February 21, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Secret Club 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 La La Land (IRE) 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Explosive 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Nerves of Steel 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Willy the Cobbler 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Doc Adams 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 East Rand 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Today Matters 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Verragio 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Whiskey Vision 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Prince Ziggy 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Cross Indian 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Real Pouch 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quick Finish 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Weston 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Gerlach’s 2.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Rebel War 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Active Account 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sly 5.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kitten’s Kid 0.80 1.7 3-1
4 4 Self Isolation 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Royally Command 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ela Calimera Mou 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Shez Our Arch 30.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tiz My Princess 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smiling Shirlee 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Becca Taylor 0.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Super Game 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Governor Goteven 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Omg It’s Jessica 5.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Agreetodisagree 1.60 1.8 3-1
7 7 Sky On Ice 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cinnte Winnte (IRE) 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Varoma 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Badger Kitten 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Jimmyssmokedcarrot 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Cecile’s Chapter 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tiznow S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wilder Than Most 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Brickyard Ride 0.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Touchdown Brown 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Seattle Bold 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Peaceful Transfer 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Rocky Gibraltar 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 7 Oubabe 1.60 2.4 5-1
9 8 Orth 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Hot Legs Romolo 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Kid Stole a Kiss 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Big Wild West 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Bag’s Gold 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Philosopher’s Tone 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 6 Centre Circle 30.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Disko Tribute 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lookinformischief 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Over Regulated 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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