February 21, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Club | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La La Land (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Explosive | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nerves of Steel | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willy the Cobbler | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doc Adams | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | East Rand | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Today Matters | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verragio | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Vision | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Ziggy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Indian | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Pouch | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quick Finish | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weston | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gerlach’s | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel War | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Active Account | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sly | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Kid | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Self Isolation | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally Command | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ela Calimera Mou | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shez Our Arch | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz My Princess | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Shirlee | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Becca Taylor | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Game | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Governor Goteven | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omg It’s Jessica | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Agreetodisagree | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky On Ice | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cinnte Winnte (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Varoma | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badger Kitten | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cecile’s Chapter | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tiznow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wilder Than Most | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brickyard Ride | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touchdown Brown | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Bold | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peaceful Transfer | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Rocky Gibraltar | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oubabe | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Orth | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hot Legs Romolo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kid Stole a Kiss | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Wild West | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bag’s Gold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Philosopher’s Tone | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Centre Circle | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Disko Tribute | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lookinformischief | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Over Regulated | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.