February 23, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Lots of Gold | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Jodean | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mt Hopy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mountain Heart | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Ready Ready | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Miss Emma Jean | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Autumn’s Lil Doll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | I Love You More | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Quality Bow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Lone Star Secret | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Scrapbook | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Girl in Black | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | My Sister Annette | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Eve’s Delight | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Tap Out Fast | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Visionofwildtimes | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sophie’s Prayer | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kasens Train | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Alloy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Red Racer | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muletrain | 4.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wheels Turning | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picture Paynter | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oscar Choice | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sodbuster | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Priority Points | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Classic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tecate Time | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Who Dat Grey | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saber Cut | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saints N Muskets | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smok’n Rita | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Track Smart | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Black Cheetah | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Barleygirl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Avendore | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maria Gone Wild | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Teasin’ Tesla | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Distorted View | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Speed Queen | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Ann | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Sister Sis | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Angel and Me | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Madison Joy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palm Court | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Non Binding | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Darlene | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Becca’s Bouquet | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Smart | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Honor | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kenya Strike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Last to Know | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Counterfeit | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Ty Fu Peg | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tin Delay | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ch Bern | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Slow | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Diside | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Firemaker | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashburn | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbelievable Catch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lundi | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | M and M’s Custom | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gonna Getcha | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Battle | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duritz | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gun War | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Defender | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robtadi Storm | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boating Party | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Buxterhooter | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Powered | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pat’s Karma | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hatties Jewel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Convict Pike | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moment | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Much Class | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | December Seven | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forevamo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Carpe Victoriam | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.