Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 24, 2022

February 24, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hello Hero 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Supertrix 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Vicious Velma 0.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tethered 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 Heart of Indee 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Veils and Vows 3.50 6 11-1
7 7 Hero’s Daughter 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Twirling Patti 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 3 Quick Munny 3.00 3 6-1
7 5 Dynamite Gift 2.50 4.5 9-1
4 2 Ma Cherie 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 Parker Eva 4.50 7 13-1
1 1 Mark With an E 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 My Little Guera 50.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tales of Home 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Woman With a Book 10.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Landofthepharaohs 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Jurisdiction 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Trivista 1.80 3.6 7-1
6 6 Skycraft 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Off Sixes 3.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Harper’s Deelite 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Harriet’s Dream 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Have No Fear 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Double Dare You 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Blues Mary 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 7 A Lot of Spunk 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Get None 3.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Bluebird Sing 20.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Elsie’s Kid 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kick N Kiss 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Forty Nine Model 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 High Ridge 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 Callinginthenight 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Coach Kenny 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 Dusty Boy 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Herewecometogetyou 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Adrenaline 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Widdle Zee 5.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Lilrascalman 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hay Dakota 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Honey Won’t 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 New Eagle 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cove Blue 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 The Last Zip 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Youvesaiditall 8.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Volubile 8.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Candizar 6.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Just Gun It 4.50 9.7 18-1
12 12 Blueridge Mountain 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dictator 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 War Chest 30.00 10.5 20-1
2 2 Grand Atlantic 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arrival Day 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Trafalgar Shore 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Julesforyou 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Verdandi 10.00 2.4 5-1
9 8 Zenchua Sky 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Eli’s Girl 5.00 5 9-1
7 6 Higher Note 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Have I Ever 3.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Ignite the Passion 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mischevious Mel 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Chikara 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Salvaje 8.00 2.9 6-1
9 10 Anna Volante 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sparkle of Hope 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sikum 15.00 4.5 9-1
10 11 Blissful Change 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Girl’s On Fire 10.00 5.3 10-1
1A 9 Cobra Casablanca 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Miner’s Queen 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Rookery 2.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Waitin’ On a Woman 4.50 3 6-1
10 9 Half Cappuccino 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 All Mike No Mae 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Customize My Quest 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Cajun Cannon 4.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Enchanted Moon 4.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Run to Blade 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 Fighting Soldier 30.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Ole Stud Muffin 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Argybargy Buck 8.00 10.5 20-1
9 8 Mr. K W 12.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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