February 24, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Hello Hero | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Supertrix | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Vicious Velma | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Tethered | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Heart of Indee | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Veils and Vows | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Hero’s Daughter | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Twirling Patti | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 3 | Quick Munny | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 5 | Dynamite Gift | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 2 | Ma Cherie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 4 | Parker Eva | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mark With an E | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | My Little Guera | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Tales of Home | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Woman With a Book | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
2 | 2 | Landofthepharaohs | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Jurisdiction | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Trivista | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Skycraft | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Off Sixes | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Harper’s Deelite | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Harriet’s Dream | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Have No Fear | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Double Dare You | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Blues Mary | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
9 | 7 | A Lot of Spunk | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Get None | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | Bluebird Sing | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Elsie’s Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Kick N Kiss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Forty Nine Model | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | High Ridge | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
7 | 6 | Callinginthenight | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Coach Kenny | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Dusty Boy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Herewecometogetyou | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Adrenaline | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Widdle Zee | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Lilrascalman | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Hay Dakota | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Honey Won’t | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | New Eagle | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Cove Blue | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | The Last Zip | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Youvesaiditall | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Volubile | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | Candizar | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Just Gun It | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
12 | 12 | Blueridge Mountain | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Dictator | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | War Chest | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
2 | 2 | Grand Atlantic | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Arrival Day | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Trafalgar Shore | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Julesforyou | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Verdandi | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Zenchua Sky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Eli’s Girl | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Higher Note | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
8 | 7 | Have I Ever | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ignite the Passion | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Mischevious Mel | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Chikara | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Salvaje | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
9 | 10 | Anna Volante | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Sparkle of Hope | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Sikum | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
10 | 11 | Blissful Change | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Girl’s On Fire | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
1A | 9 | Cobra Casablanca | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Miner’s Queen | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
7 | 7 | Rookery | 2.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 9 | Half Cappuccino | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | All Mike No Mae | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Customize My Quest | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
11 | 10 | Cajun Cannon | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Enchanted Moon | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Run to Blade | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 5 | Fighting Soldier | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ole Stud Muffin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Argybargy Buck | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
9 | 8 | Mr. K W | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.