February 25, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jolly Heretic | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Necromancer | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Magic | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pipito | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Boy Cheekum | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Any Minute | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C. B Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Union | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Levy | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thin Legs | 4.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady of Thoroton | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scenic View | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arabellas Girl | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Write the Check | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alicia’s Way | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosemary Potatoes | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Game Theory | 50.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Exotic West | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Baba | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vienna Code | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Timed Out | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Money | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Ruvies in Time | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Braciole | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Connected | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bosship | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resilient Courage | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devious Banker | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cagney | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timmy Me Boy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Brownie | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cupids Girl | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jabberwock | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Solare | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solaris Ventum | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everyoneloveslinda | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charlottesometimes | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adaydreambeliever | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Papa Tom B | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Colt Named Susie | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Boy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Violence | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doublepour | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exxtop | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truebelieve | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Giant | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demo Doctor | 1.20 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Witch Hunter | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captivating Cara | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Tony’s Girl | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violentiam | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinderella’s Cause | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Al’s Gal | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Feline | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Revolution | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silipo | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Skate | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Nicky | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Florida Gator | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Printrack | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Stepper | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dontbelate | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Doc | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Auburn Hills | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Cash | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Shot | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Liam’s Fire | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blewitt | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Bay | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supreme Aura | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Striking Speed | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My First Grammy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.