Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 25, 2022

February 25, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jolly Heretic 8.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Necromancer 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Creative Magic 20.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Pipito 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 R Boy Cheekum 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Any Minute 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 C. B Loves a Fight 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Classy Union 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Dr. Levy 4.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thin Legs 4.00 0.9 2-1
2 2 Lady of Thoroton 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Scenic View 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Arabellas Girl 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Write the Check 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Alicia’s Way 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Rosemary Potatoes 2.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Game Theory 50.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Exotic West 2.00 2.9 6-1
6 7 Baba 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Vienna Code 4.00 3.8 7-1
1A 6 Timed Out 1.80 5.5 10-1
3 3 Honey Money 3.00 5.7 11-1
1 2 Ruvies in Time 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Braciole 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Connected 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Bosship 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Resilient Courage 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Devious Banker 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Cagney 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Timmy Me Boy 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lord Brownie 5.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cupids Girl 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Jabberwock 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Sweet Solare 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Solaris Ventum 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Everyoneloveslinda 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Charlottesometimes 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Adaydreambeliever 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Papa Tom B 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 A Colt Named Susie 20.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Macho Boy 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Running Violence 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Doublepour 5.00 4 7-1
8 8 Exxtop 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Truebelieve 4.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 Irish Giant 6.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Demo Doctor 1.20 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Witch Hunter 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Captivating Cara 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Big Tony’s Girl 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Violentiam 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Cinderella’s Cause 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Big Al’s Gal 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Fancy Feline 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Red Revolution 3.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Silipo 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Good Skate 4.00 4 7-1
1 1 Miracle Nicky 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Florida Gator 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Printrack 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Hot Stepper 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Dontbelate 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 R Doc 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Auburn Hills 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Crypto Cash 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Easy Shot 8.00 3.9 7-1
11 10 Liam’s Fire 30.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Blewitt 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Lost in Rome 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Bourbon Bay 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Mexican Wonder Boy 3.50 6.5 12-1
3 3 Supreme Aura 5.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Striking Speed 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 My First Grammy 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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