February 25, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wager No Mo | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Major Griffin | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeffrow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Devil | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Charlie | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rithmicallea | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birch | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peachy Mandate | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Merit | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Da Due Run Run | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Dawn | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girl Thirsty | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | See Sassy Run | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dueforadate | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dial Em In | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Guitar Doctor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Dixie Star | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monarch’s Mischief | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pac the Pulpit | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Sexy Zong | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Luck of the Stars | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 4 | As Thunder Heart | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justa Buster | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Production Time | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Brimestone Kid | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ironical | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summerjustbet Her | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Show | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Breed | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D T’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jr’s Pacifico | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth River | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Flirty | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klassy Point | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Moneyhoney | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kellys the Boss | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Brown | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lyonaisse | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Friend | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cyber Sneaker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Toosie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deal Me a Penny | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First I’ve Seen | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lacis Jewel | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valtesse | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Won Day | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Custom for Tina | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Courtly Doc | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Magic | 8.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sniveling | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Brother | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Question Authority | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hardcore Folklore | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Love Ike | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beauregard | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muscadine | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oxxon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Take Charge Brandi S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brinee | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Viv Viv Viv | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapsion | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taylors Babe | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roll Baby | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shared Future | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Emma | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mystique Saboteur | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gimme Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Ways | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jana | 5.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wholelottamo | 3.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Date | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little E | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | T D Z Hi Court | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Charlie | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abbie Cajun Storm | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Diamond | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Snowflake | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sadie’s Light | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Chalice | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son Carlos | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.