Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 25, 2022

February 25, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wager No Mo 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Major Griffin 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Jeffrow 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mischievous Devil 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Chief Charlie 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Rithmicallea 2.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Birch 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Peachy Mandate 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fashion Merit 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Da Due Run Run 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Georgia Dawn 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Girl Thirsty 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 See Sassy Run 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dueforadate 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dial Em In 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Guitar Doctor 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Dixie Star 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Monarch’s Mischief 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Pac the Pulpit 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Heza Sexy Zong 3.50 5.7 11-1
1A 9 Luck of the Stars 5.00 7.3 14-1
1 4 As Thunder Heart 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Justa Buster 4.50 7.5 14-1
4 3 Production Time 15.00 9.9 19-1
9 10 Brimestone Kid 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ironical 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Summerjustbet Her 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 The Big Show 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Special Breed 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 D T’s Dream 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Jr’s Pacifico 4.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Smooth River 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sassy Sue’s Band 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Flat Out Flirty 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Klassy Point 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Mo Moneyhoney 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Kellys the Boss 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Beyond Brown 1.80 5 9-1
8 8 Lyonaisse 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Stop the Friend 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Cyber Sneaker 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Toosie 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Deal Me a Penny 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 First I’ve Seen 2.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lacis Jewel 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Valtesse 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Won Day 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Custom for Tina 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Courtly Doc 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Here Comes Magic 8.00 0.8 1-1
1 1 Sniveling 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shanghai Brother 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Question Authority 15.00 2 4-1
9 9 Hardcore Folklore 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Gotta Love Ike 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Beauregard 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Muscadine 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Oxxon 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Take Charge Brandi S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brinee 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Viv Viv Viv 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tapsion 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Taylors Babe 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Roll Baby 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Shared Future 3.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Sassy Emma 8.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Mystique Saboteur 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Gimme Candy 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Majestic Ways 8.00 11.6 22-1
3 3 Miss Jana 5.00 11.9 22-1
8 8 Wholelottamo 3.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Date 15.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Little E 10.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 T D Z Hi Court 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sharp Charlie 1.60 5.5 10-1
4 4 Abbie Cajun Storm 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Holiday Diamond 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mr. Snowflake 4.50 7.9 15-1
5 5 Sadie’s Light 6.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Silver Chalice 10.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Son Carlos 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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