Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 25, 2022

February 25, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Guitar 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Sir Pokerface 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Star Appearance 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 C F Johnathan 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 My Little Flaco 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Semi Charmed Life 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Courtman 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Hotpin 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Candy Shopper 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Single Shot 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Coffee County 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Fireinthestorm 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ole Stud Muffin 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Heza Chain Breaker 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiddly 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Ella’s Lil Star 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 I Love to Race 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Valerie Valeski 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Veilazig 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Rivetrix 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Princess Renee 4.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fed Money 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Cartier Cat 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Call Me Plucky 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Evie’s Prince 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Ultimate Irony 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Gunner Paul 5.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Baltic Fleet 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Willy Mc 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Start Well 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Glory to Me 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Dreaming of Neany 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Akiane’s Soldier 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 The Grey Beauty 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Dream Town 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Here Comes Lovie 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Philly Wins 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Amended 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Smokey Harbor 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Vincitore 4.50 5 9-1
6 6 Borgobythesea 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Paynt Battle 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 East Lex 4.50 8 15-1
12 12 Lookin High 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Redivivus 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 One Time Gem 12.00 10 19-1
4 4 Briar Jumper 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Freightrainfreeman 20.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Fleetridge 10.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Loyal to the Game 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Old Forty Five 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Gorostieta’s Love 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Simply Valid 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Hero Dragon 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mrtandroseysboy 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 He Is Worthy 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Haddassah’s Devil 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ratification 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mercabo Cove 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Ahimaaz 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Foliage 2.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Twentyone N Change 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Blushinstreetdevil 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Shanghai Trick 3.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Supercool 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Golden Flash 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Starrininmydreams 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 3 American Tattoo (ARG) 12.00 2 4-1
7 5 Proxy 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 4 Scarlet Fusion 8.00 3 6-1
10 8 Guillaume 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Blue Jays 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 1 Treasury 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 2 Sermononthemount 10.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Boyfriend Material 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Warrior in Chief 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Speitful Sam 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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