Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 26, 2022

February 26, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Empire Lily 4.50 1 2-1
1 4 Galaxina 0.50 2.5 5-1
1A 7 Costanti 0.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Linarite 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Tonight We Love 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Frosty Invasion 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Big Bean Christine 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 It’s Mandatory 3.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Kid Chocolate 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Jacoba 20.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Lokoya Road 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Spectatorless 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Scotty 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Profusion 2.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Forever Wicked 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Respect for All 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Reggae Music Man 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 The Cobbler 1.40 2.6 5-1
3 3 Taco Bean 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Johnny Fontaine 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 A Longlongtimeago 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Forty Comets 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Big Brown Shoes 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kay Tee Gal 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 My First Love 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Kokutai 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Ice Kreem Sundae 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Dare to Be Great 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bells On Her Toes 6.00 5 10-1
4 4 False Hope 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Pals Ally 2.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Alarra 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mystic Quest 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Strapped 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Highly Respected 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Fluid Situation 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Knight Legend 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Flowing River 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Actualize 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Takeover Kash 50.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Jester’s Song 3.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rocco Strong 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rock Sugar 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Blu Grotto 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Pier Forty 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Group Hug 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Dangerous Edge 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Extreme 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Perceived 4.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Blake B. 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Super John 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Croatian 12.00 1.8 3-1
1A 7 Sound Money 2.00 2 4-1
2 1 Zoomer 3.50 2.4 4-1
12 13 The Sound 20.00 4 7-1
3 2 Doubleoseven 30.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Too Boss 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 5 Risk Taking 2.00 6.4 12-1
11 12 Captain Bombastic 10.00 6.6 13-1
8 9 Danny California 5.00 7 13-1
9 10 Mo Gotcha 50.00 9 17-1
7 8 Amundson 15.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Secret Rules 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Stymie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Milton the Monster 8.00 1 2-1
7 6 Our Last Buck 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Doubly Blessed 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Green Light Go 1.20 3.4 6-1
2 2 Waxman 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 5 Pirate’s Punch 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hanalei’s Houdini 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Honor Among Men 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Victory Built 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hangar One 20.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Forest Spirit 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Mister Winston 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Me ‘n Sap 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 D’vinicris 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Magnificent Chrome 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Cajun Commander 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Swinton 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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Final
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4th - 4:24
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Final
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14:05 2nd
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Final
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Bottom 10th
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Top 8th
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Top 10th
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