February 26, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thirtysix G’s | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Binding | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greeley Went West | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queeten | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Senator Con | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caeus in Pasadena | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guilty Lover | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sr. Clarky | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Streaker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goingtoagogo | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threewickedwishes | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sense You Left | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Embarrassing | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vividly (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swanage | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joy of Treasure | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Blindness | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sariah Sariah | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rydenseek | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Love That Star | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Delta Traveler | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shelli’s Angel | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shesabeautydancer | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie’s Port | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prissy Jaden | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Funkylittleshack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keys Included | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gut Feeling | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Words of Wisdom | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rule the Empire | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brother Harold | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dragonfly Jack | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uninvited Guest | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loco | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cryptic Code | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vice Versa | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drena’s Star | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes He Can | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picknngrinn | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steadytillready | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crime Spree | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Betrayal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Speed | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catchmeifyoucandy | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Got Moves | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aboukir Bay | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Tsunami | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Omkara | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Kitchen | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shegotthegoldmine | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Me Home | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Joy Enamorada | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gimmick | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Com’ On Sweet Luv | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reagan’s Decision | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pipeline Girl | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matareya | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cypress Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Runnin Happy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Firewater Jake | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Artie’s Rumor | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Picking Roses | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Agenda | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cave Hill | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mister Banjoman | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | McFeely | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Majestic Sign | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Carthania | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barleewon | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Order for Porky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chantry Flats | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Forever Mo | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Mon Danseur | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bode’s Connection | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Order Up Another | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sadie’s Ransom | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Ridge Romance | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cosmic Belle | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Appeal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Classical Magnolia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lucca’s Lilyby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Both Ours | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caesar’s Calpurnia | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sayanotherprayer | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Savannah’s Here | 20.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mac Legacy | 4.50 | 15 | 28-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.