Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 26, 2022

February 26, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thirtysix G’s 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Binding 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Greeley Went West 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Queeten 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Senator Con 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Caeus in Pasadena 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Guilty Lover 10.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Sr. Clarky 8.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Lucky Streaker 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Goingtoagogo 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Threewickedwishes 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sense You Left 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Embarrassing 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Vividly (GB) 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Swanage 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Joy of Treasure 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sweet Blindness 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sariah Sariah 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rydenseek 8.00 1.4 3-1
1A 8 Bitsy C C Lil Girl 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Love That Star 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 9 Delta Traveler 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 1 Shelli’s Angel 4.50 3 6-1
4 3 Shesabeautydancer 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sadie’s Port 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Prissy Jaden 8.00 8.3 16-1
1 4 Funkylittleshack 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Keys Included 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Gut Feeling 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Words of Wisdom 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Rule the Empire 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Brother Harold 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Dragonfly Jack 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Uninvited Guest 6.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Loco 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Cryptic Code 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lafitte’s Fleet 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Vice Versa 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Drena’s Star 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Yes He Can 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Picknngrinn 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Steadytillready 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Crime Spree 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Thirsty Betrayal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 High Speed 12.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Catchmeifyoucandy 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Lady Got Moves 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Aboukir Bay 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Summer Tsunami 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Omkara 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Margie’s Kitchen 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Shegotthegoldmine 8.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Fly Me Home 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Joy Enamorada 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gimmick 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Com’ On Sweet Luv 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Reagan’s Decision 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Pipeline Girl 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Matareya 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Cypress Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Runnin Happy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Firewater Jake 8.00 1.3 2-1
10 8 Artie’s Rumor 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Picking Roses 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Big Agenda 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 7 Cave Hill 15.00 3.5 7-1
11 9 Mister Banjoman 20.00 4.2 8-1
12 10 McFeely 15.00 5.3 10-1
13 11 Majestic Sign 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Duke of Carthania 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Barleewon 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Order for Porky 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Chantry Flats 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Forever Mo 6.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Mon Danseur 20.00 2.7 5-1
11 10 Bode’s Connection 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Anslie’s Gumdrop 5.00 4.4 8-1
12 11 Order Up Another 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Sadie’s Ransom 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 7 Blue Ridge Romance 6.00 8.2 15-1
4 3 Cosmic Belle 6.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Double Appeal 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Classical Magnolia 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lucca’s Lilyby 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Both Ours 5.00 10.2 19-1
6 5 Caesar’s Calpurnia 20.00 11.5 22-1
10 9 Sayanotherprayer 15.00 13.5 26-1
13 12 Savannah’s Here 20.00 13.9 26-1
3 2 Mac Legacy 4.50 15 28-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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