February 26, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Swear Dave | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oh Great (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unreal | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shut Up Michael (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Almanera (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Olympic Legend | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Il Capitano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Big Sport | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smileforme | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starship Chewbacca | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Draw | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Be Lucky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Muay Thai (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doncic | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brix | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Augusta Melody | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Prez | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McWherter | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Podres | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Klimtoglory | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corsica Flavor | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Memes | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Creek | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salto de Tigre | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dubby Dubbie | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmo | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Move Over (GB) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Nightly | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duchossois | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On a Spree | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ganadora | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brocade | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady T | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So It Would Seem | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everlys Girl | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everystepoftheway | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wishing Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Hear My Prayer | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alice Marble | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tapwater | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stella Noir | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spirit of Bermuda (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dynasty of Her Own | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thrilling | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vittoro | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Set Sail | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Admiral | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elector | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Houndstooth | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Light Headed | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delmas | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Rhythm | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Disko Tribute | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | You’re My Boy Kat | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mo Them Down | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Precedent | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charlie’s Ghost | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tofino Bay | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asphalt Andy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Audacious Prince | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hiding the Brick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.