Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 26, 2022

February 26, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Don’t Swear Dave 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Oh Great (IRE) 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Unreal 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Shut Up Michael (IRE) 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Almanera (IRE) 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Olympic Legend 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Il Capitano 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Big Sport 1.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 Smileforme 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 4 Starship Chewbacca 1.80 2.9 6-1
2 2 Full Draw 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Gotta Be Lucky 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Muay Thai (IRE) 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Cotopaxi (IRE) 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Doncic 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Brix 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Augusta Melody 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 First Prez 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 McWherter 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Johnny Podres 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Klimtoglory 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 Corsica Flavor 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Memes 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Big Creek 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Salto de Tigre 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dubby Dubbie 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Cosmo 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Move Over (GB) 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Fly Nightly 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Cleopatra’s Strike 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Duchossois 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 On a Spree 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ganadora 1.80 1.2 2-1
2 2 Brocade 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Lady T 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 So It Would Seem 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Everlys Girl 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Everystepoftheway 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wishing Well S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Hear My Prayer 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Alice Marble 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Tapwater 3.00 4 8-1
2 1 Stella Noir 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Spirit of Bermuda (IRE) 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Dynasty of Her Own 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Thrilling 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vittoro 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Set Sail 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 American Admiral 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Elector 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Houndstooth 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Magnificent 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Lil Light Headed 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Delmas 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Awesome Rhythm 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Disko Tribute 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 You’re My Boy Kat 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Mo Them Down 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Precedent 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Charlie’s Ghost 5.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Tofino Bay 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Asphalt Andy 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Audacious Prince 50.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Hiding the Brick 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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