February 27, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Be Cheeky | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anchor Lady | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Rose | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Happy | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | School of Thought | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thatsjustlovely | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Street Culture | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got the Gold | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir William | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Buckley | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B C Glory Days | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out the Woods | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr Phil | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aristocratic | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Tapisserie | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Enterprise | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Somebody | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Farm | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Infeasible | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eddie the Great | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wickosity | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | El Veinticuatro | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silvermill | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Regal Empire | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Mucho Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Saratoga Beauty | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Indra | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Boss | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Peppina | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spun d’Etat | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Point | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greatest Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midaswellrun | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beckenbauer | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Map | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying With Angels | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raising Sand | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Colton | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Brody | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Prince James | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Peruvian Boy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sibelius | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fast Getaway | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Amundson | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Secret Rules | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Repo Rocks | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | South Sea | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Cara | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impazible Donna | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Karen | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mosienko | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wailin Josie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Q | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Sophia | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Betsy Blue | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Love | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bee Bit | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadolamo | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Annika Gold | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Account | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Lexi | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barista Vixen | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Subiaco | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mia | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady by Choice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.