Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 27, 2022

February 27, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Don’t Be Cheeky 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Anchor Lady 20.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Madame Rose 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Wicked Happy 1.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 School of Thought 1.20 3.8 7-1
4 4 Thatsjustlovely 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Street Culture 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Got the Gold 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Sir William 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Mr. Buckley 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 B C Glory Days 1.60 3.4 6-1
1 1 Out the Woods 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr Phil 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Aristocratic 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Belle Tapisserie 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Free Enterprise 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Somebody 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Happy Farm 1.60 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Infeasible 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Eddie the Great 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Wickosity 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 El Veinticuatro 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Silvermill 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Regal Empire 4.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Lucky Mucho Man 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Saratoga Beauty 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Awesome Indra 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Baby Boss 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Miss Peppina 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Spun d’Etat 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Violent Point 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Greatest Love 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Midaswellrun 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 3 Beckenbauer 20.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Battle Map 30.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Flying With Angels 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Raising Sand 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 My Boy Colton 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Lucky Brody 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Prince James 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Peruvian Boy 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Sibelius 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Fast Getaway 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Amundson 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Secret Rules 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Repo Rocks 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 South Sea 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Chasing Cara 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Impazible Donna 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Beautiful Karen 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 A Bit o’Irish Sass 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Byhubbyhellomoney 4.50 6.3 12-1
12 12 Steal My Heart 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Mosienko 12.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Wailin Josie 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Big Q 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Happy Sophia 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Betsy Blue 3.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Secret Love 5.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bee Bit 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Shadolamo 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 Annika Gold 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Charge Account 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 My Girl Lexi 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Barista Vixen 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 6 Subiaco 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Sweet Mia 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Lady by Choice 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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