February 28, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Mista Valentine | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | We Need a Five | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Daves Friend Dewey | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Grand Priority | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
10 | 10 | Musada | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Shackle the Gold | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Starvictory | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
4 | 4 | Brook Is Golden | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Snowball | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Steph’sfullasugar | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Fame Feather | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Strong Beauty | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Southern Liaison | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Flying Curlin | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Plemmonston | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Our Sexy A. P. | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Pure Valor | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Moro Warrior | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Chairman Moo | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Oxbow Wind | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Perfect Perigee | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | French Curline | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | American Hunter | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Spooky Road | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Most Empressive | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Allocate | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Classy Miss | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Bee Right | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Fordland | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Schnell | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Zion | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Creole Charlie | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Secret Vista | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Our Freddie Mac | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Release the Beast | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Hooray Austin | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Stockpiler | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
7 | 7 | Monarch Man | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
8 | 8 | Stitched | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | First Glimpse | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
9 | 9 | Cause to Cruise | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Practice Squad | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Buddy Reaux | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Jesuit | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Marquee Ride | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Costello’s Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Speight’spercomete | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
6 | 6 | Koufax | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Koolhaus | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hombrazo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Crump | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Highland Creek | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Hornswoggle | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Burninhunkoflove | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Creme de Bali | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 2 | Freelancer | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
8 | 9 | Alebrije | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1A | 8 | Holiday House | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Pure Panic | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Prayforpeace | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
2 | 1 | Xavey Dave | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Roman Poet | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Chapel Barn | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
7 | 6 | Jack the Ripper (FR) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Lemon and Diem | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Deano | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Big Falcon Rocket | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Murdo | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Club Soda | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Frolic More | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
9 | 9 | Richiesgotswagger | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.