March 3, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | See What’s What | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Susan Strong | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wherethemoneywent | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harlans Warrior | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Honest Woman | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friendly and Kind | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pretty Production | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kodiak Sky | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Billie K | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | In a Bind | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zydeco Red | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zong Tough | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jamaican Me | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gold Merritt | 1.20 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Zongland | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | Fifty Protection | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Castle Cry | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Custom Maiden | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Landwoman’s Gift | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | My Baby Bele | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Reason to Waltz | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Target Vision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Citizens Reward | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mostly Awesome | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Puye Timing | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Blindness | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Roulette | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | American Rebel | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Away | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foursweetnieces | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Saber Queen | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Just Hadley | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Prayers Saved | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Sandy’s Wager | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Alys Episode | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Bossy’s Trouble | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Miss Hurryupnwait | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 6 | C C Crown’s Choice | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Camp Halo | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Kiki Kat | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Nana’s Joy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | One King Cat | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Secret Life Style | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Zens Secret | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Taken Back | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Applewood | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Witch Doctor | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gobler | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party of Fifteen | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoodoo Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Honor My Speed | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bind On Earth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madison’s Place | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Puzzling Priority | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roaring Quinn | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Underrated | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starbuck Luck | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild Mallory | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summertime Bandit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Arctic Rose | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honoring Major | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wise Guy | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aligned Interest | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strong Rules | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Post Close | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gotta Go | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Free Indeed | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bajan Cash | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabot Trail | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jackie Moon | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rodessa Flash | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Infinity | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Multidimensional | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Blue Grass | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Priced Right | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Robber | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hello Heartbreaker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La’ Hopper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Anatole | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Puck | 5.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amandas New Man | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.