March 3, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Magnolia Ridge | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Alliance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic’s Omega | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Fury | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Hope | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dignified N Krafty | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runwildwithdreams | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joeboy | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Nitap | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G’s Squeeze | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Explosively Hot | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirited Beauty | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ourperfectprincess | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sienna Breeze | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Enough Heart | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Chloe | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brave Nugget | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slide | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joey’s Sassy Shana | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allstar Magic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Peaceful | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creole Baby | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Audacious Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Path to Success | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Cunningham | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Sting | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cantillate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Henderson | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashback Wind | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Tuff | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Glory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Renati | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitartuition Plzz | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bouldering | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Kimosabi | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its Wild Again | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Merrill | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Boo | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Putthehammerdown | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Lt. Bonura | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just Blaze | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crusader Express | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Channel Won | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spectrolite | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Here Comes Kyle | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coco Tiger | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hug the Munny | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Tough Charlie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | King Liam | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Curtin’s Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Rockdale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | The Green Mo’ster | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Distorted Verve | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Perfect Choice | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Suki | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Honorifique | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lady Frosted | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Good Penny | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Snowscape | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lord Zed | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McGolden | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Setna the Wise | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Faith Runner | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Reckless | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luckman | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harmon Killer Brew | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mizzen Man | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rumble Ready | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cyclone | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pray Ide Sing | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aw Shucks | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dixie Street | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broad Decision | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quest for Avette | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Bourbon | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rahfees Man | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Nasty Time | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Away Son | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pillage Da Village | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gracida | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Donna’s Court | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.