Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 3, 2022

March 3, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Katz a Dream 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Kate’s Kingdom 5.00 4 7-1
2 2 Panotti 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Act Like Artie 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lido Key 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Destinique 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 On a Tour 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Isla Bonita 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ghostliner 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Punx 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Trinni Summer 12.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Katie’s Cowboy 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Military Drill 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Big Daddy Dave 3.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Paladio 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Liberty M D 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Union Maiden 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Splash Cash 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Mon Petit Chou 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Kimari 0.60 4.2 8-1
2 2 Fire On Time 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Superposition 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Skywalking 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Royal War 1.60 2.3 4-1
7 7 Small Reason 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Mayor Remo 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Especiallea 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Special Meister 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Killargue Kelly 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tour of Duty 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Moonquest 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Royal Harry 20.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Fusion Jazz 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Isabella’s Dream 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Justplayitloud 30.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Free Shipping 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Jerry’s Turn 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Polsar 5.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aequor 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Brasstown 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Hero Tiger 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Stay Home 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Joe Di Baggio 2.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Meade 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Luxero 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Loyal Louie 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mony 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ladneedsahandler 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Emicrack (CHI) 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Beinfun 30.00 4 8-1
3 3 Famous Gent 1.80 5 9-1
10 10 Bee by the Sea 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Lucky as a Seven 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Putin Online 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 No Commission 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nostalgic 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Liam’s Kiss 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Princessofthenorth 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Myfavoritedaughter 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Easy Come Easy Go 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Freedom Rose 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Mi Negrita 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Z First 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Swoonatra 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Jaimie’s Warrior 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Ice Love 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Tizmet 10.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Toosweettobesour 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Pretty Flattering 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Tourastar 20.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Girly the Butcher 20.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Raw Honey 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Only Time 3.50 4.1 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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