Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 4, 2022

March 4, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweet Temperament 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Put a Bow On It 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Barranca 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Absolutely 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mommasgottarun 1.40 4.5 9-1
6 6 My Little Mia 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Saratoga Pasodoble 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Lightning Hart 6.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 That’s D ‘cat 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 My Call 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Fast Verdict 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Seehoss 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Combat Command 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Purim King 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 It’s a Bird 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 A Star Is Born Now 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sugar Star 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Roseisalwaysrite 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cece Wave 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Yes I’m a Lady 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Say What 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Keep On Dreaming 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Mydealoftheday 5.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Court in Session 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Point Me Out 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Boston Belle 6.00 9 17-1
12 12 Katie’s C 20.00 11.8 22-1
8 8 Gotteminabind 3.50 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dobby Sue 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Streettalkinhottie 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cold Hearted Wench 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Streamer 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Cajun Shots 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 A Wish for Madelyn 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Sweet Amelia 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Lea’s Princess 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maryjo’s Duchess 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Debs Girl 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Baby Lockout 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Storm Breach 2.50 4.5 8-1
8 8 Lumberjack Empire 4.50 7.9 15-1
6 6 Old Time Girl 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 La Jazz 3.00 8 15-1
3 3 Loco Poco 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grace’s Gal 15.00 2 4-1
8 8 Stormy Sunrise 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Abigail G 15.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Mave Runner 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Roll On Baby 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Holy War 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Last Destiny 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Crider Chase 2.50 8.3 16-1
1 1 Em’s Miss Prado 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Seven Come Eleven 12.00 9 17-1
12 12 Infinite Solutions 12.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Flat Rose 3.50 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Last to Know 6.00 0.7 1-1
8 8 Range of Motion 4.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Flamin Fire 10.00 6 11-1
5 4 Macho Mark 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Diside 12.00 6.7 13-1
1A 11 Quana Dude 10.00 7.1 14-1
9 9 He’s a Lucky Man 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 2 Coco’s Man 3.00 8.1 15-1
4 3 Mean Cruiser 15.00 8.3 16-1
1 5 Waypoint 10.00 8.9 17-1
2 1 Heather’s Request 6.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jet Sweep 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hypernova 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bar Tap 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Strummer 8.00 4 7-1
10 10 Eileen Alexandra 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bow Bow Girl 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Shellby 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Tizafeelin 2.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 It’sfiftyshadetime 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Shes Our Fastest 6.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Xanthus Wrath 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Old Homestead 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Man Above 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Rhythmic Ruler 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Silver Ratio 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 Spankhurst 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 He’s a Bomb 4.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Ready Edge 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Cleric 15.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Barney’s Passion 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Eliezer 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Grand Production 10.00 1 2-1
12 12 Oak Hill Lg 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 G’s Storm 2.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Dude Drop Kid 4.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Callen Feels Good 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Proudtown 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Soulology 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Chapel of Dreams 5.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 R T’s d’Oro 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Petey 10.00 11.8 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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