March 4, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Temperament | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Put a Bow On It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barranca | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absolutely | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mommasgottarun | 1.40 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Mia | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Pasodoble | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Hart | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | That’s D ‘cat | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Call | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Verdict | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seehoss | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Combat Command | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purim King | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Bird | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Star Is Born Now | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Star | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roseisalwaysrite | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cece Wave | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yes I’m a Lady | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Say What | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep On Dreaming | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mydealoftheday | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Court in Session | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Point Me Out | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boston Belle | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Katie’s C | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gotteminabind | 3.50 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dobby Sue | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streettalkinhottie | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cold Hearted Wench | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Streamer | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Shots | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Wish for Madelyn | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Amelia | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lea’s Princess | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maryjo’s Duchess | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Debs Girl | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Lockout | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Breach | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lumberjack Empire | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Old Time Girl | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Jazz | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loco Poco | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grace’s Gal | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Sunrise | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abigail G | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mave Runner | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roll On Baby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holy War | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Destiny | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crider Chase | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Em’s Miss Prado | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seven Come Eleven | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Infinite Solutions | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Rose | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Last to Know | 6.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Range of Motion | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flamin Fire | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Macho Mark | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diside | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Quana Dude | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Lucky Man | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Coco’s Man | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mean Cruiser | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Waypoint | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Heather’s Request | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jet Sweep | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hypernova | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bar Tap | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strummer | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eileen Alexandra | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Bow Girl | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shellby | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizafeelin | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shes Our Fastest | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Xanthus Wrath | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Old Homestead | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man Above | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rhythmic Ruler | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Ratio | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spankhurst | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Bomb | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Edge | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cleric | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barney’s Passion | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eliezer | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Production | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oak Hill Lg | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’s Storm | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dude Drop Kid | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Callen Feels Good | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proudtown | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soulology | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chapel of Dreams | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | R T’s d’Oro | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petey | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.